Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio vs Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1871 - December 2024 (~154 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 December 2024
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
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Results
30 Years
All (since January 1871)
Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1995
7.36$
Final Capital
December 2024
6.88%
Yearly Return
6.65%
Std Deviation
-15.92%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
6.1K$
Final Capital
December 2024
5.82%
Yearly Return
5.81%
Std Deviation
-30.61%
Max Drawdown
46months
Recovery Period
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1995
9.18$
Final Capital
December 2024
7.67%
Yearly Return
7.47%
Std Deviation
-20.58%
Max Drawdown
36months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
12.4K$
Final Capital
December 2024
6.31%
Yearly Return
6.56%
Std Deviation
-37.02%
Max Drawdown
68months
Recovery Period

As of December 2024, in the previous 30 Years, the Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio obtained a 6.88% compound annual return, with a 6.65% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -15.92% that required 27 months to be recovered.

As of December 2024, in the previous 30 Years, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio obtained a 7.67% compound annual return, with a 7.47% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -20.58% which has been ongoing for 36 months and is still in progress.

Table of contents

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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio
Weight
(%)		 ETF
Ticker		 Name
25.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
25.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
25.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
25.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
Weight
(%)		 ETF
Ticker		 Name
30.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
40.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
15.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
7.50
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Tracking
7.50
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
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Portfolio Returns as of Dec 31, 2024

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 December 2024 (~154 years)
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Return (%) as of Dec 31, 2024
YTD
(12M) 		1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~154Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_harry_browne.webp Permanent Portfolio
Harry Browne 		11.90 -2.51 5.82 11.90 5.72 5.52 6.88 5.82
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_ray_dalio.webp All Weather Portfolio
Ray Dalio 		6.36 -3.45 3.12 6.36 3.67 4.64 7.67 6.31
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Dec 31, 2024

Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1995, now would be worth 7.36$, with a total return of 635.51% (6.88% annualized).

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1995, now would be worth 9.18$, with a total return of 817.52% (7.67% annualized).


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Harry Browne Permanent Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 6108.03$, with a total return of 610703.32% (5.82% annualized).

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 12400.51$, with a total return of 1239951.12% (6.31% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Dec 31, 2024

The following metrics, updated as of 31 December 2024, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 2024 - 31 December 2024 (1 year)
Period: 1 January 2020 - 31 December 2024 (5 years)
Period: 1 January 2015 - 31 December 2024 (10 years)
Period: 1 January 1995 - 31 December 2024 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 December 2024 (~154 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Author Harry Browne Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 30%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 11.90 6.36
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 9.18 3.77
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.51 -3.73
Start to Recovery (months) 1* 3
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -0.53 -0.52
Start to Recovery (months) 2 3
Longest Negative Period (months) 3* 4
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.10 8.02
Sharpe Ratio 1.10 0.15
Sortino Ratio 1.40 0.18
Ulcer Index 0.87 1.55
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.95 0.79
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 4.74 1.71
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2024 - 31 December 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Author Harry Browne Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 30%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.72 3.67
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 1.54 -0.43
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 27 36*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 27 36*
Longest Negative Period (months) 40 46
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.70 10.50
Sharpe Ratio 0.39 0.13
Sortino Ratio 0.55 0.17
Ulcer Index 5.91 9.53
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.66 0.35
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.36 0.18
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2020 - 31 December 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Author Harry Browne Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 30%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.52 4.64
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 2.48 1.63
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 27 36*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 27 36*
Longest Negative Period (months) 40 46
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.37 8.50
Sharpe Ratio 0.53 0.36
Sortino Ratio 0.76 0.49
Ulcer Index 4.70 7.07
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.75 0.55
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.35 0.23
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2015 - 31 December 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Author Harry Browne Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 30%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.88 7.67
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.25 5.02
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 27 36*
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -15.92 -20.58
Start to Recovery (months) 27 36*
Longest Negative Period (months) 40 46
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.65 7.47
Sharpe Ratio 0.69 0.72
Sortino Ratio 0.96 0.96
Ulcer Index 3.20 4.45
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.03 1.03
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.43 0.37
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1995 - 31 December 2024
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Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Author Harry Browne Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 25% 30%
Fixed Income 50% 55%
Commodities 25% 15%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 5.82 6.31
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.63 4.10
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -30.61 -37.02
Start to Recovery (months) 46 68
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -14.17 -37.02
Start to Recovery (months) 53 68
Longest Negative Period (months) 80 84
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 5.81 6.56
Sharpe Ratio 0.31 0.35
Sortino Ratio 0.47 0.50
Ulcer Index 3.52 4.58
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.00 0.96
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.19 0.17
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1871 - 31 December 2024
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 1995 - 31 December 2024 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 December 2024 (~154 years)

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Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To		 Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To
-20.58 36* Jan 2022
In progress
-15.92 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-12.63 18 Mar 2008
Aug 2009
-11.57 9 Jan 2009
Sep 2009
-11.38 6 Jul 2008
Dec 2008
-6.98 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-6.86 17 Oct 2012
Feb 2014
-6.73 15 Feb 2015
Apr 2016
-6.66 17 Feb 2015
Jun 2016
-6.42 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-5.43 19 Sep 2000
Mar 2002
-5.34 4 Jul 1998
Oct 1998
-5.29 9 May 2013
Jan 2014
-4.83 4 Jul 1998
Oct 1998
-4.76 6 Apr 2004
Sep 2004

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Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To		 Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To
-37.02 68 Sep 1929
Apr 1935
-30.61 46 Sep 1929
Jun 1933
-20.58 36* Jan 2022
In progress
-17.43 37 Mar 1937
Mar 1940
-15.92 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-14.17 53 Mar 1937
Jul 1941
-12.98 25 Dec 1968
Dec 1970
-12.63 18 Mar 2008
Aug 2009
-12.31 21 Dec 1980
Aug 1982
-11.68 21 Dec 1980
Aug 1982
-11.57 9 Jan 2009
Sep 2009
-11.38 5 Feb 1980
Jun 1980
-11.38 6 Jul 2008
Dec 2008
-11.15 10 Apr 1974
Jan 1975
-11.04 11 Mar 1974
Jan 1975

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 December 2024 (~154 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Permanent Portfolio All Weather Portfolio
Year Return
(%)		 Drawdown
(%)		 Return
(%)		 Drawdown
(%)
2024
 11.90 -2.51 6.36 -3.73
2023
 11.55 -5.68 9.95 -9.25
2022
 -12.53 -15.92 -18.39 -20.58
2021
 4.21 -4.43 8.27 -3.74
2020
 16.10 -3.30 15.88 -3.68
2019
 16.17 -1.10 17.93 -0.83
2018
 -1.76 -4.25 -3.02 -4.71
2017
 10.97 -0.83 11.55 -0.49
2016
 5.54 -6.98 6.50 -6.42
2015
 -3.06 -6.73 -3.23 -6.66
2014
 9.40 -2.62 12.89 -2.52
2013
 -2.08 -6.04 1.71 -5.29
2012
 6.41 -1.83 7.02 -1.33
2011
 11.11 -1.85 15.64 -2.00
2010
 13.92 -0.53 12.88 -0.69
2009
 7.85 -6.22 2.71 -11.57
2008
 0.87 -12.63 2.38 -11.38
2007
 12.69 -1.20 11.88 -1.20
2006
 10.94 -2.12 6.93 -1.71
2005
 8.91 -1.25 8.55 -2.99
2004
 6.83 -4.20 9.41 -4.76
2003
 13.32 -2.34 13.96 -4.74
2002
 5.85 -4.02 7.77 -1.56
2001
 -0.52 -4.13 -2.77 -4.61
2000
 2.40 -3.23 10.15 -2.26
1999
 5.17 -3.54 6.28 -3.79
1998
 10.09 -5.34 11.05 -4.83
1997
 7.19 -2.33 13.54 -2.89
1996
 5.08 -2.02 8.27 -2.11
1995
 18.11 0.00 27.44 0.00
1994
 -1.37 -3.63 -3.28 -6.83
1993
 12.00 -0.99 12.02 -1.98
1992
 3.57 -1.77 6.76 -2.23
1991
 11.72 -0.88 17.98 -1.86
1990
 1.11 -4.53 3.85 -5.51
1989
 12.90 -1.18 20.45 -1.14
1988
 4.39 -1.50 10.59 -1.93
1987
 7.42 -5.78 3.47 -8.78
1986
 17.64 -1.28 20.56 -3.75
1985
 20.47 -2.05 28.68 -2.13
1984
 2.22 -3.58 8.03 -6.61
1983
 3.46 -2.83 7.06 -3.16
1982
 23.27 -5.51 31.65 -3.13
1981
 -5.34 -9.88 -3.74 -11.76
1980
 13.65 -11.38 10.35 -10.89
1979
 39.77 -4.50 19.26 -6.57
1978
 12.78 -5.31 7.24 -3.43
1977
 6.43 -2.00 2.14 -2.83
1976
 11.22 -2.75 15.78 -1.12
1975
 6.98 -7.00 12.93 -5.16
1974
 12.43 -11.15 1.78 -11.04
1973
 15.65 -6.85 6.67 -2.66
1972
 18.84 -1.56 14.50 0.00
1971
 12.86 -1.09 14.60 -3.81
1970
 7.89 -4.68 10.73 -7.59
1969
 -6.38 -8.20 -7.07 -8.33
1968
 9.27 -1.10 5.61 -2.31
1967
 6.11 -1.37 4.93 -2.43
1966
 -0.04 -3.86 -0.21 -6.05
1965
 4.59 -0.95 4.08 -1.14
1964
 6.00 -0.25 7.34 -0.33
1963
 6.05 -0.74 6.73 -1.03
1962
 -0.23 -4.93 0.34 -6.12
1961
 6.50 -1.00 7.57 -1.53
1960
 5.64 -1.14 8.59 -1.47
1959
 2.72 -1.85 1.91 -2.83
1958
 9.97 -0.31 9.85 -0.95
1957
 0.57 -2.86 1.56 -3.70
1956
 1.35 -2.43 0.45 -3.72
1955
 6.24 -0.67 6.44 -0.66
1954
 14.12 -0.94 17.99 -1.18
1953
 -0.87 -4.16 0.83 -4.42
1952
 3.37 -1.26 4.21 -1.76
1951
 4.37 -1.85 4.78 -2.55
1950
 7.47 -1.53 9.14 -1.91
1949
 6.13 -1.15 8.58 -0.97
1948
 1.16 -2.70 1.89 -3.09
1947
 3.61 -1.52 1.53 -1.94
1946
 -0.66 -5.77 -0.92 -7.07
1945
 12.40 -0.87 15.78 -0.88
1944
 5.95 -0.36 7.97 -0.39
1943
 8.33 -2.35 9.97 -2.77
1942
 5.04 -3.00 6.45 -3.58
1941
 -1.49 -3.80 -1.20 -4.99
1940
 -0.01 -6.09 1.87 -7.70
1939
 1.75 -3.29 2.79 -3.74
1938
 8.45 -6.59 10.37 -7.91
1937
 -8.65 -10.20 -10.07 -12.18
1936
 10.39 -1.85 14.42 -2.08
1935
 12.79 -1.85 16.55 -1.39
1934
 5.72 -3.27 8.27 -3.11
1933
 28.60 -5.74 23.55 -7.04
1932
 2.17 -10.03 5.54 -10.85
1931
 -12.64 -16.23 -17.79 -21.07
1930
 -4.39 -9.07 -5.90 -10.68
1929
 -0.83 -9.26 -1.20 -10.34
1928
 10.25 -1.14 11.11 -1.64
1927
 11.58 -1.05 14.04 -1.26
1926
 5.78 -1.79 6.53 -2.18
1925
 8.98 -1.51 10.80 -1.86
1924
 10.18 -0.44 13.10 -0.48
1923
 3.65 -2.70 4.44 -3.38
1922
 9.97 -1.17 12.65 -1.45
1921
 8.74 -1.62 9.83 -2.12
1920
 -1.56 -2.72 -5.55 -5.68
1919
 6.55 -2.10 5.81 -2.69
1918
 7.63 -0.71 7.85 -0.84
1917
 -4.88 -4.88 -7.65 -7.65
1916
 4.56 -0.66 7.39 -0.65
1915
 10.27 -0.48 14.08 -0.61
1914
 1.02 -3.96 0.88 -4.99
1913
 0.91 -1.08 -0.05 -2.01
1912
 3.57 -0.83 3.48 -1.15
1911
 2.86 -2.33 3.28 -2.93
1910
 0.96 -1.93 0.15 -3.13
1909
 5.56 -0.47 6.57 -0.53
1908
 13.65 -0.55 16.74 -0.51
1907
 -5.24 -5.97 -8.40 -8.70
1906
 1.58 -1.96 0.59 -3.33
1905
 6.99 -1.27 7.83 -1.78
1904
 10.35 -0.56 12.56 -0.84
1903
 -2.87 -5.48 -4.67 -7.60
1902
 3.72 -1.71 3.24 -2.40
1901
 6.40 -2.12 6.47 -2.76
1900
 7.28 -1.02 8.45 -1.38
1899
 2.46 -1.66 2.72 -2.13
1898
 9.71 -2.16 11.99 -4.26
1897
 7.76 -0.96 9.70 -0.85
1896
 3.16 -3.48 2.87 -5.53
1895
 2.81 -2.88 2.80 -4.23
1894
 3.47 -0.91 4.58 -1.05
1893
 -2.22 -6.13 -4.72 -9.21
1892
 3.62 -0.58 3.45 -0.93
1891
 6.97 -1.39 7.45 -2.60
1890
 -0.21 -2.89 -1.50 -4.15
1889
 4.74 -0.41 5.38 -0.71
1888
 3.54 -0.99 4.41 -1.57
1887
 1.07 -2.41 -0.36 -4.08
1886
 5.01 -0.83 5.02 -1.39
1885
 10.08 -0.41 11.99 -0.98
1884
 -0.61 -3.78 -1.97 -5.63
1883
 0.77 -1.33 0.14 -2.08
1882
 3.35 -1.31 3.24 -1.91
1881
 2.94 -1.91 3.46 -3.20
1880
 9.92 -1.87 12.13 -2.30
1879
 14.82 -0.23 17.34 -0.47
1878
 6.08 -0.22 7.44 -0.16
1877
 1.31 -4.59 1.94 -4.81
1876
 -1.26 -2.91 -0.20 -3.96
1875
 6.22 -0.40 7.61 -1.41
1874
 5.61 -0.80 7.35 -1.45
1873
 1.85 -4.51 1.49 -7.70
1872
 6.24 -0.91 5.32 -2.48
1871
 6.83 -1.19 8.01 -1.75
Mastering Etf Investing
The first official book of
Mastering ETF Investing
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing
Buy now
English book
Buy now
Italian book