Davide Pisicchio Diavola Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1971 - November 2024 (~54 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 30 November 2024
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: EUR
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1.00€
Initial Capital
December 1994
29.65€
Final Capital
November 2024
11.96%
Yearly Return
15.98
Std Deviation
-58.76%
Max Drawdown
162months
Recovery Period
1.00€
Initial Capital
January 1971
305.66€
Final Capital
November 2024
11.20%
Yearly Return
16.88
Std Deviation
-58.76%
Max Drawdown
162months
Recovery Period

The Davide Pisicchio Diavola Portfolio can be implemented with 4 ETFs. This portfolio has a very high risk, meaning it can experience significant fluctuations in value. It is suitable for investors with a high risk tolerance who are seeking substantial returns and can withstand large drawdowns.

The portfolio asset allocation is: 90% on the Stock Market, 10% on Fixed Income, 0% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 10% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as very high risk.

As of November 2024, in the previous 30 Years, the Davide Pisicchio Diavola Portfolio obtained a 11.96% compound annual return, with a 15.98% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -58.76% that required 162 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.

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About the Author: Davide Pisicchio

Davide Pisicchio

My name is Davide Pisicchio, and I am a financial educator.

I help people understand the mechanisms governing financial markets so they can leverage them to their advantage.

In my opinion, everyone should invest to avoid losing wealth, and for this reason, financial markets, when used properly, are the best tool to achieve this.

Portfolio Overview

The Diavola portfolio is the riskiest among the portfolios designed to accompany us throughout our lives (Diavola, Pepperoni, Capricciosa, Four Seasons, Margherita).

Like the famous pizza with its bold flavor, this portfolio represents the maximum level of risk. It is a highly volatile portfolio, suitable for young investors who are ready to take on significant risks, given a time horizon that allows them to recover potential losses.

Potentially, with this portfolio, it is possible to double the capital in 6–7 years.

Asset Allocation and ETFs

To effectively implement the asset allocation of the Davide Pisicchio Diavola Portfolio, investors can utilize the following selection of ETFs. These ETFs have been chosen specifically for their ability to represent each asset class within the portfolio and facilitate ease of management.

90% Stocks
10% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

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Weight
(%)		 ETF
Ticker		 ETF
Currency		 ETF Name Investment Themes (Orig.Currency)
65.00
XD9U.DE
EUR Xtrackers MSCI USA Equity, U.S., Large Cap (USD)
25.00
SXRV.DE
EUR iShares Nasdaq 100 Equity, U.S., Large Cap, Growth (USD)
5.00
CBUE.DE
EUR
Hedged 		iShares USD Treasury Bond 3-7yr Eur Hedged Bond, U.S., Intermediate-Term (USD)
5.00
XFFE.DE
EUR Xtrackers USD Overnight Rate Swap Bond, U.S., Ultra Short-Term (USD)

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

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Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Nov 30, 2024

The Davide Pisicchio Diavola Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in EUR, assuming:
DAVIDE PISICCHIO DIAVOLA PORTFOLIO
1 January 1971 - 30 November 2024 (~54 years)
Live Update: December 2024
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Nov 30, 2024
  1 Day Time ET(*) --- YTD
(11M) 		1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~54Y)
Investment Return --- --- 30.21 8.04 18.26 35.37 16.58 14.90 11.96 11.20
Euro Inflation Adjusted Return 27.14 8.04 17.59 31.97 12.25 12.19 9.71 8.15
Components
XD9U.DE
EUR Xtrackers MSCI USA --- --- --- 33.94 8.86 20.38 39.22 16.45 14.79 11.54 11.05
SXRV.DE
EUR iShares Nasdaq 100 --- --- --- 30.30 7.96 17.86 36.81 21.46 19.57 14.17 12.35
CBUE.DE
EUR
Hedged 		iShares USD Treasury Bond 3-7yr Eur Hedged --- --- --- 1.22 0.40 2.99 3.30 -1.39 -0.40 3.64 5.16
XFFE.DE
EUR Xtrackers USD Overnight Rate Swap --- --- --- 10.16 3.28 5.44 8.90 3.24 3.33 2.80 4.41
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
The live monthly return is calculated by assuming, for each asset, the weight defined by the base asset allocation.
Euro Inflation is updated to Oct 2024. Pending updates, the monthly inflation is set at 0% for the subsequent periods. Inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.58% , 5Y: 3.86% , 10Y: 2.42% , 30Y: 2.06%
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Capital Growth as of Nov 30, 2024

An investment of 1€, from December 1994 to November 2024, would be worth 29.65€, with a total return of 2864.57% (11.96% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 16.10€, with a net total return of 1510.06% (9.71% annualized).

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An investment of 1€, from January 1971 to November 2024, would be worth 305.66€, with a total return of 30466.29% (11.20% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 68.17€, with a net total return of 6716.64% (8.15% annualized).

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Portfolio Metrics as of Nov 30, 2024

Metrics of Davide Pisicchio Diavola Portfolio, updated as of 30 November 2024, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.

These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
DAVIDE PISICCHIO DIAVOLA PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
1 January 1971 - 30 November 2024 (~54 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Nov 30, 2024
YTD
(11M) 		1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~54Y)
Investment Return (%)
30.21 8.04 12.66 18.26 35.37 12.07 16.58 14.90 11.97 11.96 11.20
Growth of 1€ 1.30 1.08 1.13 1.18 1.35 1.41 2.15 4.01 9.60 29.65 305.66
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
27.14 8.04 12.38 17.59 31.97 6.78 12.25 12.19 9.66 9.71 8.15
Euro Inflation (%) 2.41 0.00 0.24 0.57 2.58 4.95 3.86 2.42 2.11 2.06 2.82
Pending updates, the monthly inflation of Nov 2024 and beyond is set at 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
 Current 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -2.10 -17.26 -17.26 -17.26 -39.17 -58.76 -58.76
Start to Recovery (# months)
4 19 19 19 55 162 162
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 07 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 06 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 12 12 12 21 102 102
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 08 2022 12 2022 12 2022 12 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 7 7 7 34 60 60
End (yyyy mm) 2024 10 2023 07 2023 07 2023 07 2011 12 2014 02 2014 02
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same
same
same
same
same
same
same
Start to Recovery (# months)
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 07 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 06 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 12 12 12 21 102 102
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 08 2022 12 2022 12 2022 12 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 7 7 7 34 60 60
End (yyyy mm) 2024 10 2023 07 2023 07 2023 07 2011 12 2014 02 2014 02
Longest negative period (# months)
3 23 23 23 71 164 164
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 07 2021 12 2021 12 2021 12 2005 10 2000 09 2000 09
End (yyyy mm) 2024 09 2023 10 2023 10 2023 10 2011 08 2014 04 2014 04
Annualized Return (%) -1.65 -0.97 -0.97 -0.97 -0.05 -0.03 -0.03
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -2.59 -24.23 -24.23 -24.23 -40.88 -65.49 -65.49
Start to Recovery (# months)
3 26 26 26 57 173 173
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 06 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 12 12 12 21 102 102
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 12 2022 12 2022 12 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 14 14 14 36 71 71
End (yyyy mm) 2024 06 2024 02 2024 02 2024 02 2012 02 2015 01 2015 01
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -2.20
same
same
same
same
same
same
Start to Recovery (# months)
4
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 07 2022 01 2022 01 2022 01 2007 06 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 2 12 12 12 21 102 102
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 08 2022 12 2022 12 2022 12 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 14 14 14 36 71 71
End (yyyy mm) 2024 10 2024 02 2024 02 2024 02 2012 02 2015 01 2015 01
Longest negative period (# months)
3 26 30 30 79 181 181
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 07 2021 12 2021 05 2021 05 2005 02 2000 09 2000 09
End (yyyy mm) 2024 09 2024 01 2023 10 2023 10 2011 08 2015 09 2015 09
Annualized Return (%) -1.71 -0.10 -0.22 -0.22 -0.10 0.00 0.00
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 10.36 14.37 14.47 13.63 13.16 15.98 16.88
Sharpe Ratio 2.91 0.58 0.99 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.40
Sortino Ratio 4.22 0.83 1.37 1.34 1.09 0.82 0.55
Ulcer Index 0.91 7.34 6.15 5.14 9.43 26.44 21.88
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 3.41 0.84 1.15 1.09 0.91 0.75 0.66
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 16.88 0.70 0.96 0.86 0.31 0.20 0.19
Positive Months (%)
75.00 58.33 65.00 65.00 63.33 63.05 60.74
Positive Months 9 21 39 78 152 227 393
Negative Months 3 15 21 42 88 133 254
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 14.90 18.69 18.69 27.66
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 7.97 -4.79 -4.79
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 12.19 17.26 17.26 24.67
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 6.35 -6.68 -6.68
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
 1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· As of Nov 2024 - Over the previous 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 76.82 47.13 40.98 18.69 11.97 11.96
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -38.29 -22.89 -10.94 -4.79 3.99
Positive Periods (%) 78.2 80.0 81.3 85.4 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 74.22 45.19 38.76 17.26 9.66 9.71
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -39.61 -24.67 -12.85 -6.68 2.29
Positive Periods (%) 73.6 77.8 71.7 80.4 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
6.53 9.98 12.27 24.07 32.75 22.32 28.56 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 8.45 13.30 16.96 31.18 44.47 35.43 32.44 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
9.68 15.43 19.97 36.64 50.30 41.40 34.85 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 11.68 18.89 24.87 37.77 52.83 43.68 38.80 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 73.09 19.11 10.71 5.09 3.23 10.84
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 1.22 10.16
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Jan 1971 - Nov 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 82.96 47.13 40.98 27.66 20.69 13.83
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -38.29 -22.89 -10.94 -4.79 3.99 8.93
Positive Periods (%) 74.3 83.1 88.4 93.3 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 77.88 45.19 38.76 24.67 17.63 10.68
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -39.61 -24.67 -12.85 -6.68 2.29 6.65
Positive Periods (%) 69.0 80.2 78.7 91.0 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
7.01 10.86 13.59 22.26 28.49 14.63 14.75 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 9.03 14.37 18.55 28.66 38.81 27.22 26.85 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
10.33 16.61 21.72 34.06 47.10 36.98 32.80 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 12.44 20.27 26.90 36.51 50.34 41.46 35.31 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 73.09 19.11 10.71 5.09 3.23 4.89
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 1.22 4.55
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.
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Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of two assets move in relation to each other. It is a statistical measure that describes the extent to which the returns of one asset are related to the returns of another asset.

COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS
Monthly correlations as of 30 November 2024
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Terms and Definitions
Correlation values range between -1 and +1
  • A correlation of +1 indicates that the returns of the two assets move in perfect synchrony; when one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns also go up by the same percentage, and vice versa. This perfect positive correlation implies that the assets perform similarly in different market conditions.
  • A correlation of -1 indicates a perfect inverse relationship between the returns of the two assets. When one asset's returns go up, the other asset's returns go down by the same percentage. This perfect negative correlation suggests that the assets move in opposite directions, providing a diversification benefit by reducing overall portfolio risk.
  • A correlation of 0 means that there is no linear relationship between the returns of the two assets. The returns of one asset do not predict the returns of the other.
Learn about historical correlations here: see how the main asset classes relate to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DAVIDE PISICCHIO DIAVOLA PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
1 December 1994 - 30 November 2024 (30 Years)
1 January 1971 - 30 November 2024 (~54 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Returns

For a detailed rolling return analysis, click here
Davide Pisicchio Diavola Portfolio: Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

DAVIDE PISICCHIO DIAVOLA PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
1 December 1994 - 30 November 2024 (30 Years)
1 January 1971 - 30 November 2024 (~54 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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The values shown for the rolling periods represent key statistical points: the minimum, maximum, median, and the 15th and 85th percentiles. These percentiles give insight into the distribution of the data, indicating the range within which the central 70% of the values lie, while the median represents the middle value.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Davide Pisicchio Diavola Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the time period from January 1971 to November 2024.

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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Davide Pisicchio Diavola Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

DAVIDE PISICCHIO DIAVOLA PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
1 December 1994 - 30 November 2024 (30 Years)
1 January 1971 - 30 November 2024 (~54 years)
227 Positive Months (63%) - 133 Negative Months (37%)
393 Positive Months (61%) - 254 Negative Months (39%)

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Methodology

Returns, up to March 2019, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
  • Xtrackers MSCI USA (XD9U.DE), up to May 2014
  • iShares Nasdaq 100 (SXRV.DE), up to June 2010
  • iShares USD Treasury Bond 3-7yr Eur Hedged (CBUE.DE), up to March 2019
  • Xtrackers USD Overnight Rate Swap (XFFE.DE), up to May 2014

Portfolio efficiency

Compare Davide Pisicchio Diavola Portfolio performance and efficiency against top portfolios to identify strengths and areas for improvement.

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Mastering Etf Investing
The first official book of
Mastering ETF Investing
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing
Buy now
English book
Buy now
Italian book