Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
When holding the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~16 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 46 months (from December 2013 to September 2017).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 47 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin: ETF allocation and returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-32.36%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2012 |
+11.61% |
+200.76%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2013 |
11.24%
20 out of 178 |
-33.46%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2012 |
+9.53% |
+197.10%
Dec 2012 - Nov 2013 |
15.17%
27 out of 178 |
-10.07%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2013 |
+14.63% |
+89.88%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013 |
10.84%
18 out of 166 |
-11.56%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2013 |
+11.78% |
+87.05%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013 |
15.06%
25 out of 166 |
-4.91%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016 |
+13.78% |
+66.67%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013 |
0.65%
1 out of 154 |
-5.96%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016 |
+11.55% |
+63.15%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013 |
17.53%
27 out of 154 |
+2.54%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2017 |
+13.89% |
+51.28%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 142 |
-0.47%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023 |
+11.55% |
+48.47%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013 |
1.41%
2 out of 142 |
+3.21%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2018 |
+14.21% |
+36.95%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 130 |
+0.72%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022 |
+11.43% |
+34.19%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 130 |
+4.79%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2019 |
+13.12% |
+30.79%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 118 |
+2.34%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2023 |
+10.71% |
+28.60%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 118 |
+6.15%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2020 |
+18.97% |
+26.86%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 106 |
+4.52%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2020 |
+17.18% |
+24.76%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 106 |
+6.75%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2021 |
+19.88% |
+25.87%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 94 |
+4.44%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2021 |
+17.74% |
+23.77%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 94 |
+4.64%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022 |
+19.75% |
+24.55%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 82 |
+1.85%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022 |
+17.32% |
+22.36%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018 |
0.00%
0 out of 82 |
+5.02%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023 |
+17.82% |
+22.42%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 70 |
+2.18%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023 |
+15.16% |
+20.33%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 70 |
+11.14%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2022 |
+16.62% |
+21.50%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 58 |
+8.43%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2022 |
+13.75% |
+19.29%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 58 |
+10.72%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023 |
+17.30% |
+20.96%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 46 |
+7.97%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023 |
+14.34% |
+18.81%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 46 |
+10.88%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024 |
+17.21% |
+19.47%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 34 |
+8.09%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024 |
+14.35% |
+16.82%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022 |
0.00%
0 out of 34 |
+16.42%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 |
+17.06% |
+17.33%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 22 |
+13.52%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 |
+14.09% |
+14.41%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2023 |
0.00%
0 out of 22 |
+16.45%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023 |
+16.79% |
+17.08%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 10 |
+13.54%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023 |
+13.89% |
+14.15%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 10 |
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin: ETF allocation and returns