Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio To EUR Bond Hedged: Rolling Returns

Simulation Settings
Period: July 1998 - January 2025 (~27 years)
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: EUR
Inflation: Eurozone
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When holding the Larry Swedroe Larry Portfolio To EUR Bond Hedged, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~27 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 47 months (from December 2019 to October 2023).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 48 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

LARRY SWEDROE LARRY PORTFOLIO TO EUR BOND HEDGED
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 February 2005 - 31 January 2025 (20 Years)
Time Period: 1 July 1998 - 31 January 2025 (~27 years)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

LARRY SWEDROE LARRY PORTFOLIO TO EUR BOND HEDGED
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 July 1998 - 31 January 2025 (~27 years)
Eurozone Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-10.70%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022
+5.64% +19.21%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
13.64%
42 out of 308
-18.26%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022
+3.93% +18.20%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2010
21.10%
65 out of 308
-6.25%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+5.55% +14.90%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
6.76%
20 out of 296
-12.13%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023
+3.83% +13.05%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
16.22%
48 out of 296
-1.68%
May 2021 - Apr 2024
+5.59% +12.55%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
4.58%
13 out of 284
-6.86%
May 2021 - Apr 2024
+3.96% +10.35%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
15.14%
43 out of 284
+0.08%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+5.70% +10.72%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013
0.00%
0 out of 272
-4.00%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2023
+4.07% +8.58%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013
12.50%
34 out of 272
+0.67%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2020
+5.68% +9.29%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
0.00%
0 out of 260
-2.29%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2023
+4.04% +7.45%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
13.46%
35 out of 260
+0.56%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+5.75% +9.48%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 248
-2.69%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2023
+3.95% +7.99%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015
12.50%
31 out of 248
+0.99%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+6.10% +8.70%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2006
0.00%
0 out of 236
-2.01%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2023
+4.02% +6.47%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2005
12.71%
30 out of 236
+1.24%
Jun 2015 - May 2023
+6.01% +7.91%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2007
0.00%
0 out of 224
-1.43%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2023
+4.04% +6.41%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
12.50%
28 out of 224
+1.56%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023
+6.11% +7.78%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2007
0.00%
0 out of 212
-0.97%
May 2015 - Apr 2024
+4.29% +5.64%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2007
8.49%
18 out of 212
+1.97%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
+5.90% +7.49%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2013
0.00%
0 out of 200
-0.26%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023
+4.24% +5.31%
Apr 2005 - Mar 2015
1.00%
2 out of 200
+2.36%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+5.77% +7.60%
Nov 1999 - Oct 2010
0.00%
0 out of 188
+0.25%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023
+4.26% +5.41%
Nov 1999 - Oct 2010
0.00%
0 out of 188
+2.77%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
+5.81% +7.56%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2011
0.00%
0 out of 176
+0.62%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023
+4.20% +5.59%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2015
0.00%
0 out of 176
+2.91%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+5.70% +7.60%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2012
0.00%
0 out of 164
+0.69%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023
+4.22% +5.40%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2012
0.00%
0 out of 164
+3.41%
Jan 2011 - Dec 2024
+5.41% +7.53%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2012
0.00%
0 out of 152
+1.24%
May 2010 - Apr 2024
+3.87% +5.38%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2012
0.00%
0 out of 152
+4.08%
Nov 2008 - Oct 2023
+5.37% +7.19%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2014
0.00%
0 out of 140
+1.90%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2025
+3.79% +5.27%
Feb 2000 - Jan 2015
0.00%
0 out of 140
+3.67%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+5.41% +7.39%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 128
+1.55%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023
+3.79% +5.45%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2015
0.00%
0 out of 128
+3.81%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+5.44% +7.02%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2015
0.00%
0 out of 116
+1.65%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023
+3.81% +5.14%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2015
0.00%
0 out of 116
+3.96%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2023
+5.45% +6.91%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2016
0.00%
0 out of 104
+1.83%
Nov 2005 - Oct 2023
+3.74% +5.12%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2016
0.00%
0 out of 104
+4.15%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+5.44% +6.65%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 92
+2.00%
Nov 2004 - Oct 2023
+3.80% +4.88%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 92
+4.24%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023
+5.41% +6.41%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2018
0.00%
0 out of 80
+2.07%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023
+3.75% +4.62%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2018
0.00%
0 out of 80
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