Simulation Settings
Period: January 1871 - October 2024 (~154 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 October 2024
Live Update: Nov 20 2024
Consolidated Returns as of 31 October 2024
Live Update: Nov 20 2024
Currency:
USD
1.00$
Initial Capital
November 1994
November 1994
1.97$
Final Capital
October 2024
October 2024
2.29%
Yearly Return
0.65
Std Deviation
-0.42%
Max Drawdown
94months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
January 1871
416.42$
Final Capital
October 2024
October 2024
4.00%
Yearly Return
0.76
Std Deviation
-0.42%
Max Drawdown
94months
Recovery Period
Live update: November 2024 (USD)
0.01%
1 day - Nov 20 2024
0.26%
Month - November 2024
The US Cash Portfolio can be implemented with 1 ETF. This portfolio has a low risk, suggesting it experiences minor value changes. It is ideal for conservative investors who prioritize capital preservation and prefer stable, predictable returns.
The portfolio asset allocation is: 0% on the Stock Market, 100% on Fixed Income, 0% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 100% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as low risk.
As of October 2024, in the previous 30 Years, the US Cash Portfolio obtained a 2.29% compound annual return, with a 0.65% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -0.42% that required 94 months to be recovered.
Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information.
The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators.
Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
Table of contents
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Exclusive new asset allocations in EUR and USD
Asset Allocation and ETFs
To effectively implement the asset allocation of the US Cash Portfolio, investors can utilize the following selection of ETFs. These ETFs have been chosen specifically for their ability to represent each asset class within the portfolio and facilitate ease of management.
0% Stocks
100% Fixed Income
0% Commodities
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| Weight (%) |
ETF Ticker |
ETF Currency |
ETF Name | Investment Themes (Orig.Currency) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100.00 |
BIL
|
USD | SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill | Bond, U.S., Ultra Short-Term (USD) |
Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.
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Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Oct 31, 2024
The US Cash Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.
Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
US CASH PORTFOLIO
1 January 1871 - 31 October 2024 (~154 years)
Live Update: Nov 20 2024
Swipe left to see all data
| Chg (%) | Return (%) | Return (%) as of Oct 31, 2024 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Day | Time ET(*) | Nov 2024 |
YTD
(10M) |
1M | 6M | 1Y | 5Y | 10Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~154Y) |
|||
| Investment Return | 0.01 | 0.26 | 4.38 | 0.39 | 2.61 | 5.32 | 2.23 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 4.00 | |||
| Returns over 1 year are annualized | |||||||||||||
| (*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York) | |||||||||||||
In 2023, the US Cash Portfolio granted a 5.03% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the US Cash Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.
Capital Growth as of Oct 31, 2024
An investment of 1$, from November 1994 to October 2024,
would be worth 1.97$, with a total return of 97.44% (2.29% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 0.94$, with a net total return of -6.49% (-0.22% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 0.94$, with a net total return of -6.49% (-0.22% annualized).
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An investment of 1$, from January 1871 to October 2024,
would be worth 416.42$, with a total return of 41541.67% (4.00% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 16.47$, with a net total return of 1547.23% (1.84% annualized).
The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 16.47$, with a net total return of 1547.23% (1.84% annualized).
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Portfolio Metrics as of Oct 31, 2024
Metrics of US Cash Portfolio, updated as of 31 October 2024, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.
These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.
Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
- no fees or capital gain taxes.
- dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
US CASH PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
1 January 1871 - 31 October 2024 (~154 years)
Swipe left to see all data
| Metrics as of Oct 31, 2024 | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
YTD
(10M) |
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y |
MAX
(~154Y) |
|
| Investment Return (%) | 4.38 | 0.39 | 1.28 | 2.61 | 5.32 | 3.56 | 2.23 | 1.53 | 1.47 | 2.29 | 4.00 |
| Growth of 1$ | 1.04 | 1.00 | 1.01 | 1.03 | 1.05 | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.16 | 1.34 | 1.97 | 416.42 |
| US Inflation (%) | 2.17 | 0.24 | 0.61 | 0.72 | 2.58 | 4.50 | 4.17 | 2.88 | 2.55 | 2.52 | 2.12 |
| Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized. | |||||||||||
|
DRAWDOWN
|
Current | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.16 | -0.16 | -0.42 | -0.42 | -0.42 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | 5 | 28 | 28 | 94 | 94 | 94 | |||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | - | 2021 11 | 2020 04 | 2020 04 | 2009 11 | 2009 11 | 2009 11 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | - | 4 | 23 | 23 | 74 | 74 | 74 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | - | 2022 02 | 2022 02 | 2022 02 | 2015 12 | 2015 12 | 2015 12 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | - | 1 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 20 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | 2022 03 | 2022 07 | 2022 07 | 2017 08 | 2017 08 | 2017 08 | ||||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) |
same |
same |
same |
same |
same |
same |
same |
||||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | |||||||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | - | 2021 11 | 2020 04 | 2020 04 | 2009 11 | 2009 11 | 2009 11 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | - | 4 | 23 | 23 | 74 | 74 | 74 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | - | 2022 02 | 2022 02 | 2022 02 | 2015 12 | 2015 12 | 2015 12 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | - | 1 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 20 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | 2022 03 | 2022 07 | 2022 07 | 2017 08 | 2017 08 | 2017 08 | ||||
| Longest negative period (# months) | 0 | 6 | 27 | 27 | 105 | 105 | 105 | ||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | - | 2021 11 | 2020 04 | 2020 04 | 2008 10 | 2008 10 | 2008 10 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | 2022 04 | 2022 06 | 2022 06 | 2017 06 | 2017 06 | 2017 06 | ||||
| Annualized Return (%) | --- | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||
| Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) | -21.98 | 0.00 | -6.55 | -13.58 | -16.79 | -25.09 | -25.09 | -48.00 | |||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | 190* | 36* | 53* | 117* | 190* | 190* | 793 | ||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | - | 2021 11 | 2020 06 | 2015 02 | 2009 01 | 2009 01 | 1933 06 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | - | 12 | 29 | 93 | 166 | 166 | 223 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | - | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 1951 12 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | - | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 570 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1999 06 | ||||
| Longest Drawdown Depth (%) |
same |
same |
same |
same |
same |
same |
same |
||||
| Start to Recovery (# months) | |||||||||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | - | 2021 11 | 2020 06 | 2015 02 | 2009 01 | 2009 01 | 1933 06 | ||||
| Start to Bottom (# months) | - | 12 | 29 | 93 | 166 | 166 | 223 | ||||
| Bottom (yyyy mm) | - | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 2022 10 | 1951 12 | ||||
| Bottom to End (# months) | - | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 570 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1999 06 | ||||
| Longest negative period (# months) | 0 | 36* | 60* | 120* | 240* | 360* | 1117* | ||||
| Start (yyyy mm) | - | 2021 11 | 2019 11 | 2014 11 | 2004 11 | 1994 11 | 1931 10 | ||||
| End (yyyy mm) | - | 2024 10 | 2024 10 | 2024 10 | 2024 10 | 2024 10 | 2024 10 | ||||
| Annualized Return (%) | --- | -0.90 | -1.86 | -1.31 | -1.04 | -0.22 | 0.00 | ||||
| Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress | |||||||||||
|
RISK INDICATORS
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | ||||
| Standard Deviation (%) | 0.08 | 0.61 | 0.67 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 0.76 | ||||
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||
| Ulcer Index | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.05 | ||||
| Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation | 66.50 | 5.82 | 3.33 | 2.79 | 2.58 | 3.55 | 5.24 | ||||
| Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown | --- | 81.42 | 13.53 | 9.28 | 3.51 | 5.45 | 9.50 | ||||
| Positive Months (%) | 100.00 | 91.66 | 76.66 | 80.00 | 78.33 | 85.55 | 97.18 | ||||
| Positive Months | 12 | 33 | 46 | 96 | 188 | 308 | 1794 | ||||
| Negative Months | 0 | 3 | 14 | 24 | 52 | 52 | 52 | ||||
|
LONG TERM RETURNS
|
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | ||||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 1.53 | 1.53 | 3.95 | 9.20 | |||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | ||||||||
| Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | -1.31 | -0.62 | 1.44 | 9.61 | |||||||
| Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized | -2.06 | -2.06 | -5.31 | ||||||||
|
TIMEFRAMES
|
1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | 20Y | 30Y | MAX | |
| ··· As of Oct 2024 - Over the previous 30Y | |||||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 6.02 | 5.35 | 5.20 | 3.95 | 2.68 | 2.29 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -0.15 | -0.10 | -0.08 | 0.16 | 1.08 | ||||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 75.9 | 80.3 | 86.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 3.76 | 3.06 | 2.69 | 1.44 | 0.36 | -0.22 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -8.18 | -4.61 | -2.83 | -2.06 | -1.39 | ||||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 43.8 | 33.8 | 31.5 | 29.8 | 19.8 | 0.0 | |||||
| 95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| 95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 0.19 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.25 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| 99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| 99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.29 | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |||
| Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data | |||||||||||
| Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) | 95.84 | 30.59 | 18.52 | 9.10 | 4.56 | 3.61 | |||||
| Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |||||
| % based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com | |||||||||||
| ··· All available data (Jan 1871 - Oct 2024) | |||||||||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 15.22 | 12.62 | 11.14 | 9.20 | 7.73 | 6.80 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -0.15 | -0.10 | -0.08 | 0.16 | 0.52 | 1.10 | |||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 95.4 | 96.4 | 97.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | |||||
| Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | 30.87 | 16.07 | 15.11 | 9.61 | 8.88 | 7.20 | |||||
| Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized | -16.14 | -10.74 | -9.15 | -5.31 | -3.14 | -1.77 | |||||
| Positive Periods (%) | 63.4 | 65.7 | 66.0 | 66.8 | 79.0 | 78.8 | |||||
| 95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) | 0.28 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data | |||||||||||
| Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) | 89.22 | 27.48 | 15.38 | 7.25 | 3.26 | 2.17 | |||||
| Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |||||
| % based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com | |||||||||||
- Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
- Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
- Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
- Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
- Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
- Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
- Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
- Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
- Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
- Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
- Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
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Drawdowns
A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.
US CASH PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
1 November 1994 - 31 October 2024 (30 Years)
1 January 1871 - 31 October 2024 (~154 years)
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Rolling Returns
For a detailed rolling return analysis, click here
US Cash Portfolio: Rolling Returns
US Cash Portfolio: Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
US CASH PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
1 November 1994 - 31 October 2024 (30 Years)
1 January 1871 - 31 October 2024 (~154 years)
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The values shown for the rolling periods represent key statistical points: the minimum, maximum, median, and the 15th and 85th percentiles. These percentiles give insight into the distribution of the data, indicating the range within which the central 70% of the values lie, while the median represents the middle value.
Seasonality
In which months is it better to invest in US Cash Portfolio?
Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the time period from January 1871 to October 2024.
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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.
Monthly Returns
This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the US Cash Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.
US CASH PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
1 November 1994 - 31 October 2024 (30 Years)
1 January 1871 - 31 October 2024 (~154 years)
308 Positive Months (86%) - 52 Negative Months (14%)
1794 Positive Months (97%) - 52 Negative Months (3%)
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Methodology
Returns, up to December 2007, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.
In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
Returns, up to December 2007, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.
In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
- SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill (BIL), up to December 2007
Portfolio efficiency
No other portfolio in our database granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.
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In the following table, you can compare the current portfolio with a list of famous portfolios. Metrics are calculated over the last 30 Years.
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The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing