US Stocks To CAD Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns

Simulation Settings
Period: August 1953 - January 2025 (~72 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 January 2025
Currency: CAD
Inflation: Canada
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Results
30 Years
All (since August 1953)
Inflation Adjusted:
US Stocks To CAD Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
February 1995
21.69$
Final Capital
January 2025
10.80%
Yearly Return
13.07%
Std Deviation
-48.04%
Max Drawdown
152months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
February 1995
11.65$
Final Capital
January 2025
8.53%
Yearly Return
13.07%
Std Deviation
-56.30%
Max Drawdown
162months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
August 1953
2.8K$
Final Capital
January 2025
11.76%
Yearly Return
13.87%
Std Deviation
-48.04%
Max Drawdown
152months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
August 1953
243.63$
Final Capital
January 2025
7.99%
Yearly Return
13.87%
Std Deviation
-56.30%
Max Drawdown
162months
Recovery Period

The US Stocks To CAD Portfolio can be implemented with 1 ETF. This portfolio has a very high risk, meaning it can experience significant fluctuations in value. It is suitable for investors with a high risk tolerance who are seeking substantial returns and can withstand large drawdowns.

The portfolio asset allocation is: 100% on the Stock Market, 0% on Fixed Income, 0% on Commodities. In general, bonds are useful for mitigating overall portfolio risk, especially if they are issued by national entities or highly reliable companies. This portfolio has a 0% allocation to bonds, leading to its classification as very high risk.

As of January 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the US Stocks To CAD Portfolio obtained a 10.80% compound annual return, with a 13.07% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -48.04% that required 152 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocation and ETFs

To effectively implement the asset allocation of the US Stocks To CAD Portfolio, investors can utilize the following selection of ETFs. These ETFs have been chosen specifically for their ability to represent each asset class within the portfolio and facilitate ease of management.

100% Stocks
0% Fixed Income
0% Commodities

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Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
ETF
Currency
ETF Name Investment Themes (Orig.Currency)
100.00
VUN.TO
CAD Vanguard US Total Market Index Equity, U.S., Large Cap (USD)

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

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Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Jan 31, 2025

The US Stocks To CAD Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in CAD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • the actual Canada Inflation rates.
US STOCKS TO CAD PORTFOLIO
1 August 1953 - 31 January 2025 (~72 years)
Live Update: February 2025
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Jan 31, 2025
  1 Day Time ET(*) --- YTD
(1M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~72Y)
Investment Return --- --- 4.16 4.16 15.89 35.77 16.26 14.30 10.80 11.76
Canada Inflation Adjusted Return 4.16 4.16 16.53 33.32 12.51 11.37 8.53 7.99
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
The live monthly return is calculated by assuming, for each asset, the weight defined by the base asset allocation.
Canada Inflation is updated to Dec 2024. Pending updates, the monthly inflation is set at 0% for the subsequent periods. Inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 1.83% , 5Y: 3.34% , 10Y: 2.63% , 30Y: 2.09%

In 2024, the US Stocks To CAD Portfolio granted a 0.93% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the US Stocks To CAD Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

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Capital Growth as of Jan 31, 2025

An investment of 1$, from February 1995 to January 2025, would be worth 21.69$, with a total return of 2069.28% (10.80% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 11.65$, with a net total return of 1065.38% (8.53% annualized).

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An investment of 1$, from August 1953 to January 2025, would be worth 2825.45$, with a total return of 282445.48% (11.76% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 243.63$, with a net total return of 24263.41% (7.99% annualized).

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Portfolio Metrics as of Jan 31, 2025

Metrics of US Stocks To CAD Portfolio, updated as of 31 January 2025, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.

These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • the actual Canada Inflation rates.
US STOCKS TO CAD PORTFOLIO
Advanced Metrics
1 August 1953 - 31 January 2025 (~72 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Jan 31, 2025
YTD
(1M)
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~72Y)
Investment Return (%)
4.16 4.16 11.07 15.89 35.77 15.93 16.26 14.30 11.24 10.80 11.76
Growth of 1$ 1.04 1.04 1.11 1.16 1.36 1.56 2.12 3.81 8.41 21.69 2.8K
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
4.16 4.16 11.49 16.53 33.32 11.99 12.51 11.37 8.89 8.53 7.99
Canada Inflation (%) 0.00 0.00 -0.37 -0.56 1.83 3.52 3.34 2.63 2.15 2.09 3.49
Pending updates, the monthly inflation of Jan 2025 and beyond is set at 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
Current 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -2.79 -15.82 -20.33 -20.33 -41.93 -48.04 -48.04
Start to Recovery (# months)
2 17 19 19 72 152 152
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 02 2022 01 2022 01 2007 02 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 5 6 6 25 102 102
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 06 2022 06 2022 06 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 1 12 13 13 47 50 50
End (yyyy mm) 2024 05 2023 06 2023 07 2023 07 2013 01 2013 04 2013 04
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 02 2022 01 2022 01 2007 02 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 5 6 6 25 102 102
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 06 2022 06 2022 06 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 1 12 13 13 47 50 50
End (yyyy mm) 2024 05 2023 06 2023 07 2023 07 2013 01 2013 04 2013 04
Longest negative period (# months)
1 16 23 23 80 159 159
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 02 2021 12 2021 12 2005 02 1998 07 1998 07
End (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2023 05 2023 10 2023 10 2011 09 2011 09 2011 09
Annualized Return (%) -28.79 -0.70 -0.81 -0.81 -0.50 -0.11 -0.11
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) 0.00 -3.27 -20.00 -24.97 -24.97 -44.18 -56.30 -56.30
Start to Recovery (# months)
3 23 26 26 76 162 162
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 02 2022 01 2022 01 2007 02 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 5 6 6 25 102 102
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 06 2022 06 2022 06 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 18 20 20 51 60 60
End (yyyy mm) 2024 06 2023 12 2024 02 2024 02 2013 05 2014 02 2014 02
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same

same

same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 02 2022 01 2022 01 2007 02 2000 09 2000 09
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 5 6 6 25 102 102
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2022 06 2022 06 2022 06 2009 02 2009 02 2009 02
Bottom to End (# months) 2 18 20 20 51 60 60
End (yyyy mm) 2024 06 2023 12 2024 02 2024 02 2013 05 2014 02 2014 02
Longest negative period (# months)
2 22 30 30 91 177 207
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 03 2022 02 2021 05 2021 05 2005 02 1998 03 1965 05
End (yyyy mm) 2024 04 2023 11 2023 10 2023 10 2012 08 2012 11 1982 07
Annualized Return (%) -6.13 -0.34 -0.86 -0.86 -0.03 -0.08 -0.09
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 9.50 13.79 15.03 13.44 12.49 13.07 13.87
Sharpe Ratio 3.23 0.87 0.92 0.94 0.78 0.65 0.55
Sortino Ratio 4.35 1.16 1.24 1.27 1.05 0.87 0.75
Ulcer Index 0.81 5.17 6.79 5.34 11.81 17.72 13.56
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 3.76 1.16 1.08 1.06 0.90 0.83 0.85
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 12.82 1.01 0.80 0.70 0.27 0.22 0.24
Positive Months (%)
75.00 66.66 68.33 65.00 63.75 61.94 61.88
Positive Months 9 24 41 78 153 223 531
Negative Months 3 12 19 42 87 137 327
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 14.30 18.85 18.85 22.06
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 8.07 -4.17 -4.17
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 11.37 16.85 16.85 19.68
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 6.32 -6.17 -6.17
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· As of Jan 2025 - Over the previous 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 51.27 32.45 26.45 18.85 11.35 10.80
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -30.10 -15.85 -7.03 -4.17 4.66
Positive Periods (%) 79.0 78.4 72.4 82.9 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 49.77 30.73 24.36 16.85 9.00 8.53
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -32.94 -18.17 -8.78 -6.17 2.77
Positive Periods (%) 75.3 73.2 64.7 77.5 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
5.28 7.96 9.62 18.98 25.79 19.48 29.03 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 6.84 10.67 13.46 23.99 32.21 23.91 31.46 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
7.85 12.41 15.92 26.71 34.78 25.49 34.26 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 9.48 15.25 19.93 28.84 38.64 28.65 34.72 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 79.26 23.87 13.82 6.47 3.98 8.63
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 1.67 7.89
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Aug 1953 - Jan 2025)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 61.07 32.45 28.32 22.06 18.54 15.34
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -42.37 -15.85 -7.03 -4.17 4.66 9.04
Positive Periods (%) 79.8 87.1 87.7 94.3 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 52.75 30.73 25.55 19.68 13.89 9.54
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -48.18 -19.90 -11.97 -6.17 1.56 4.24
Positive Periods (%) 74.4 79.7 77.0 82.1 100.0 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
5.58 8.38 10.07 16.18 19.89 12.96 3.80 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 7.24 11.26 14.14 22.57 26.97 19.63 22.69 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
8.31 13.10 16.76 26.71 32.59 23.53 29.77 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 10.04 16.11 21.01 31.48 35.33 26.49 32.95 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 74.41 22.12 13.46 6.47 3.98 3.87
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- 1.67 3.29
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

US STOCKS TO CAD PORTFOLIO
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
1 February 1995 - 31 January 2025 (30 Years)
1 August 1953 - 31 January 2025 (~72 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Returns

For a detailed rolling return analysis, click here
US Stocks To CAD Portfolio: Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

US STOCKS TO CAD PORTFOLIO
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
1 February 1995 - 31 January 2025 (30 Years)
1 August 1953 - 31 January 2025 (~72 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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The values shown for the rolling periods represent key statistical points: the minimum, maximum, median, and the 15th and 85th percentiles. These percentiles give insight into the distribution of the data, indicating the range within which the central 70% of the values lie, while the median represents the middle value.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in US Stocks To CAD Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the time period from August 1953 to January 2025.

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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the US Stocks To CAD Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

US STOCKS TO CAD PORTFOLIO
Monthly Returns Distribution
1 February 1995 - 31 January 2025 (30 Years)
1 August 1953 - 31 January 2025 (~72 years)
223 Positive Months (62%) - 137 Negative Months (38%)
531 Positive Months (62%) - 327 Negative Months (38%)

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Methodology

Returns, up to September 2013, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:
  • Vanguard US Total Market Index (VUN.TO), up to September 2013

Portfolio efficiency

Compare US Stocks To CAD Portfolio performance and efficiency against top portfolios to identify strengths and areas for improvement.

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The first official book of
Build wealth
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