Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged vs Burton Malkiel Mid-Fifties Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - January 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 January 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since March 2010)
Inflation Adjusted:
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
1.00$
Initial Capital
February 2015
1.87$
Final Capital
January 2025
6.44%
Yearly Return
13.71%
Std Deviation
-34.04%
Max Drawdown
37months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
February 2015
1.38$
Final Capital
January 2025
3.27%
Yearly Return
13.71%
Std Deviation
-38.90%
Max Drawdown
41months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
4.14$
Final Capital
January 2025
9.99%
Yearly Return
12.41%
Std Deviation
-34.04%
Max Drawdown
37months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
2.83$
Final Capital
January 2025
7.22%
Yearly Return
12.41%
Std Deviation
-38.90%
Max Drawdown
41months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Burton Malkiel Mid-Fifties Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
February 2015
2.06$
Final Capital
January 2025
7.50%
Yearly Return
12.56%
Std Deviation
-24.05%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
February 2015
1.52$
Final Capital
January 2025
4.30%
Yearly Return
12.56%
Std Deviation
-28.46%
Max Drawdown
41months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
3.42$
Final Capital
January 2025
8.58%
Yearly Return
12.28%
Std Deviation
-24.05%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
2.34$
Final Capital
January 2025
5.85%
Yearly Return
12.28%
Std Deviation
-28.46%
Max Drawdown
41months*
Recovery Period
* in progress

As of January 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 9.99% compound annual return, with a 12.41% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -34.04% which has been ongoing for 37 months and is still in progress.

As of January 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Burton Malkiel Mid-Fifties Portfolio obtained a 8.58% compound annual return, with a 12.28% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -24.05% that required 27 months to be recovered.

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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
30.00
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
60.00
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
10.00
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Burton Malkiel Mid-Fifties Portfolio
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
27.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
14.00
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets
14.00
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE
12.50
VIG
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation
12.50
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate
7.50
EMB
iShares JP Morgan USD Em Mkts Bd
7.50
LQD
iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond
5.00
BIL
SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill
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Portfolio Returns as of Jan 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 January 2025 (~15 years)
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Return (%) as of Jan 31, 2025
YTD
(1M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_gyroscopic_investing.webp Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Gyroscopic Investing
2.57 2.57 4.95 16.15 4.12 6.44 9.99
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_burton_malkiel.webp Mid-Fifties
Burton Malkiel
2.59 2.59 4.60 15.30 7.34 7.50 8.58
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Jan 31, 2025

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since February 2015, now would be worth 1.87$, with a total return of 86.70% (6.44% annualized).

Burton Malkiel Mid-Fifties Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since February 2015, now would be worth 2.06$, with a total return of 106.09% (7.50% annualized).


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Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 4.14$, with a total return of 313.81% (9.99% annualized).

Burton Malkiel Mid-Fifties Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 3.42$, with a total return of 241.61% (8.58% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Jan 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 January 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 February 2024 - 31 January 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 February 2020 - 31 January 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 February 2015 - 31 January 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 January 2025 (~15 years)
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Mid-Fifties
Author Gyroscopic Investing Burton Malkiel
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 80%
Fixed Income 60% 20%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 16.15 15.30
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 13.22 12.40
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.01 -3.57
Start to Recovery (months) 3 3
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.01 -3.57
Start to Recovery (months) 3 3
Longest Negative Period (months) 4 4
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.86 8.91
Sharpe Ratio 0.86 1.14
Sortino Ratio 1.04 1.34
Ulcer Index 2.36 1.54
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.26 1.72
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 2.69 4.28
Metrics calculated over the period 1 February 2024 - 31 January 2025
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Mid-Fifties
Author Gyroscopic Investing Burton Malkiel
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 80%
Fixed Income 60% 20%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 4.12 7.34
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) -0.05 3.04
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -24.05
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -24.05
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 47 34
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 17.16 15.21
Sharpe Ratio 0.10 0.33
Sortino Ratio 0.14 0.43
Ulcer Index 16.65 9.11
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.24 0.48
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.12 0.31
Metrics calculated over the period 1 February 2020 - 31 January 2025
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Mid-Fifties
Author Gyroscopic Investing Burton Malkiel
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 80%
Fixed Income 60% 20%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.44 7.50
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.27 4.30
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -24.05
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -24.05
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 52 34
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 13.71 12.56
Sharpe Ratio 0.35 0.47
Sortino Ratio 0.47 0.62
Ulcer Index 12.11 6.94
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.47 0.60
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.19 0.31
Metrics calculated over the period 1 February 2015 - 31 January 2025
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Mid-Fifties
Author Gyroscopic Investing Burton Malkiel
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 80%
Fixed Income 60% 20%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.99 8.58
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 7.22 5.85
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -24.05
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -24.05
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 52 34
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.41 12.28
Sharpe Ratio 0.72 0.61
Sortino Ratio 0.96 0.82
Ulcer Index 9.99 6.07
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.80 0.70
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.29 0.36
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 31 January 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 February 2015 - 31 January 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 January 2025 (~15 years)

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Mid-Fifties
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-34.04 37* Jan 2022
In progress
-24.05 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-18.63 8 Jan 2020
Aug 2020
-10.03 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-10.02 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-9.21 14 May 2015
Jun 2016
-7.55 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-6.85 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-6.04 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-5.79 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-5.23 4 Jan 2021
Apr 2021
-3.95 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-3.94 2 May 2019
Jun 2019
-3.61 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020
-3.57 3 Apr 2024
Jun 2024

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Mid-Fifties
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-34.04 37* Jan 2022
In progress
-24.05 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-18.63 8 Jan 2020
Aug 2020
-15.78 11 May 2011
Mar 2012
-10.03 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-10.02 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-9.50 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-9.21 14 May 2015
Jun 2016
-8.09 6 May 2013
Oct 2013
-7.55 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-6.85 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-6.25 5 Apr 2012
Aug 2012
-6.04 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-5.79 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-5.23 4 Jan 2021
Apr 2021

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 January 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Mid-Fifties
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
2.57 0.00 2.59 0.00
2024
13.97 -6.01 11.29 -3.57
2023
15.63 -13.22 15.87 -9.23
2022
-30.56 -34.04 -17.33 -24.05
2021
12.18 -5.79 15.75 -3.95
2020
21.66 -6.04 11.71 -18.63
2019
30.15 -1.15 23.79 -3.94
2018
-5.84 -7.55 -7.10 -10.02
2017
17.48 -1.28 19.19 0.00
2016
7.95 -10.03 8.92 -3.97
2015
-1.47 -6.85 -2.27 -8.93
2014
17.56 -3.41 8.09 -3.42
2013
8.45 -8.09 14.67 -3.96
2012
14.13 -2.65 15.47 -6.25
2011
18.75 -3.56 -0.94 -15.78
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