Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged vs Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - January 2025 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 January 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
10 Years
All (since March 2010)
Inflation Adjusted:
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
1.00$
Initial Capital
February 2015
1.87$
Final Capital
January 2025
6.44%
Yearly Return
13.71%
Std Deviation
-34.04%
Max Drawdown
37months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
February 2015
1.38$
Final Capital
January 2025
3.27%
Yearly Return
13.71%
Std Deviation
-38.90%
Max Drawdown
41months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
4.14$
Final Capital
January 2025
9.99%
Yearly Return
12.41%
Std Deviation
-34.04%
Max Drawdown
37months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
2.83$
Final Capital
January 2025
7.22%
Yearly Return
12.41%
Std Deviation
-38.90%
Max Drawdown
41months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
1.00$
Initial Capital
February 2015
2.41$
Final Capital
January 2025
9.19%
Yearly Return
7.40%
Std Deviation
-15.75%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
February 2015
1.78$
Final Capital
January 2025
5.94%
Yearly Return
7.40%
Std Deviation
-22.03%
Max Drawdown
41months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
10.17$
Final Capital
January 2025
16.83%
Yearly Return
34.78%
Std Deviation
-40.72%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
6.96$
Final Capital
January 2025
13.89%
Yearly Return
34.78%
Std Deviation
-41.34%
Max Drawdown
29months
Recovery Period

As of January 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 9.99% compound annual return, with a 12.41% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -34.04% which has been ongoing for 37 months and is still in progress.

As of January 2025, over the analyzed timeframe, the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin obtained a 16.83% compound annual return, with a 34.78% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -40.72% that required 29 months to be recovered.

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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
30.00
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
60.00
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
10.00
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
30.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
60.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
8.00
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
2.00
^BTC
Bitcoin
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Portfolio Returns as of Jan 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 January 2025 (~15 years)
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Return (%) as of Jan 31, 2025
YTD
(1M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_gyroscopic_investing.webp Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Gyroscopic Investing
2.57 2.57 4.95 16.15 4.12 6.44 9.99
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_gyroscopic_investing.webp Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Gyroscopic Investing
1.95 1.95 6.01 14.50 7.35 9.19 16.83
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Jan 31, 2025

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since February 2015, now would be worth 1.87$, with a total return of 86.70% (6.44% annualized).

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin: an investment of 1$, since February 2015, now would be worth 2.41$, with a total return of 140.91% (9.19% annualized).


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Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 4.14$, with a total return of 313.81% (9.99% annualized).

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 10.17$, with a total return of 917.35% (16.83% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Jan 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 January 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 February 2024 - 31 January 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 February 2020 - 31 January 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 February 2015 - 31 January 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 January 2025 (~15 years)
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Gyroscopic Investing Gyroscopic Investing
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 30%
Fixed Income 60% 60%
Commodities 10% 10%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 16.15 14.50
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 13.22 11.62
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.01 -2.60
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.01 -2.60
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2
Longest Negative Period (months) 4 2
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.86 6.11
Sharpe Ratio 0.86 1.54
Sortino Ratio 1.04 1.85
Ulcer Index 2.36 0.89
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.26 2.37
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 2.69 5.58
Metrics calculated over the period 1 February 2024 - 31 January 2025
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Gyroscopic Investing Gyroscopic Investing
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 30%
Fixed Income 60% 60%
Commodities 10% 10%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 4.12 7.35
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) -0.05 3.04
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -15.75
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -15.75
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 47 34
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 17.16 8.34
Sharpe Ratio 0.10 0.59
Sortino Ratio 0.14 0.81
Ulcer Index 16.65 5.70
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.24 0.88
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.12 0.47
Metrics calculated over the period 1 February 2020 - 31 January 2025
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Gyroscopic Investing Gyroscopic Investing
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 30%
Fixed Income 60% 60%
Commodities 10% 10%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.44 9.19
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.27 5.94
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -15.75
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -15.75
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 52 34
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 13.71 7.40
Sharpe Ratio 0.35 1.02
Sortino Ratio 0.47 1.49
Ulcer Index 12.11 4.11
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.47 1.24
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.19 0.58
Metrics calculated over the period 1 February 2015 - 31 January 2025
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Author Gyroscopic Investing Gyroscopic Investing
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 30%
Fixed Income 60% 60%
Commodities 10% 10%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.99 16.83
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 7.22 13.89
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -40.72
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 29
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -23.13
Start to Recovery (months) 37* 47
Longest Negative Period (months) 52 46
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.41 34.78
Sharpe Ratio 0.72 0.45
Sortino Ratio 0.96 1.34
Ulcer Index 9.99 14.28
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.80 0.48
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.29 0.41
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 31 January 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 February 2015 - 31 January 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 January 2025 (~15 years)

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-34.04 37* Jan 2022
In progress
-15.75 27 Nov 2021
Jan 2024
-10.03 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-7.55 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-6.85 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-6.04 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-5.79 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-5.23 4 Jan 2021
Apr 2021
-4.32 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020
-3.61 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020
-3.37 6 Sep 2018
Feb 2019
-2.60 2 Apr 2024
May 2024
-2.42 2 Sep 2021
Oct 2021
-2.42 5 Jun 2015
Oct 2015
-2.29 7 Feb 2018
Aug 2018

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-40.72 29 Jul 2011
Nov 2013
-34.04 37* Jan 2022
In progress
-23.13 47 Dec 2013
Oct 2017
-15.75 27 Nov 2021
Jan 2024
-10.03 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-8.09 6 May 2013
Oct 2013
-7.55 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-6.85 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-6.04 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-5.79 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-5.23 4 Jan 2021
Apr 2021
-4.32 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020
-3.61 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020
-3.56 2 Sep 2011
Oct 2011
-3.41 3 Sep 2014
Nov 2014

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 January 2025 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Desert Portfolio with Bitcoin
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
2.57 0.00 1.95 0.00
2024
13.97 -6.01 12.79 -2.60
2023
15.63 -13.22 14.50 -3.65
2022
-30.56 -34.04 -12.91 -15.69
2021
12.18 -5.79 7.04 -2.42
2020
21.66 -6.04 18.53 -4.32
2019
30.15 -1.15 15.90 -0.68
2018
-5.84 -7.55 -2.37 -3.37
2017
17.48 -1.28 35.50 -0.65
2016
7.95 -10.03 7.70 -1.79
2015
-1.47 -6.85 0.93 -2.42
2014
17.56 -3.41 4.36 -1.80
2013
8.45 -8.09 130.41 -23.13
2012
14.13 -2.65 10.19 -1.94
2011
18.75 -3.56 35.50 -40.72
The first official book of
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing