Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged vs Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: March 2010 - December 2024 (~15 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 December 2024
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
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Results
10 Years
All (since March 2010)
Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2015
1.91$
Final Capital
December 2024
6.70%
Yearly Return
13.77%
Std Deviation
-34.04%
Max Drawdown
36months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
4.03$
Final Capital
December 2024
9.86%
Yearly Return
12.44%
Std Deviation
-34.04%
Max Drawdown
36months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 2015
2.03$
Final Capital
December 2024
7.33%
Yearly Return
9.39%
Std Deviation
-19.77%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
March 2010
3.29$
Final Capital
December 2024
8.36%
Yearly Return
8.72%
Std Deviation
-19.77%
Max Drawdown
27months
Recovery Period

As of December 2024, over the analyzed timeframe, the Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged obtained a 9.86% compound annual return, with a 12.44% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -34.04% which has been ongoing for 36 months and is still in progress.

As of December 2024, over the analyzed timeframe, the Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio obtained a 8.36% compound annual return, with a 8.72% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -19.77% that required 27 months to be recovered.

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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Weight
(%)		 ETF
Ticker		 Name
30.00
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P 500
60.00
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
10.00
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio
Weight
(%)		 ETF
Ticker		 Name
50.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
50.00
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond
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Portfolio Returns as of Dec 31, 2024

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • the actual US Inflation rates.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 December 2024 (~15 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Return (%) as of Dec 31, 2024
YTD
(12M) 		1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y MAX
(~15Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_gyroscopic_investing.webp Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged
Gyroscopic Investing 		13.97 -4.35 6.68 13.97 4.55 6.70 9.86
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_scott_burns.webp Couch Potato
Scott Burns 		12.73 -2.45 5.20 12.73 7.72 7.33 8.36
Return over 1 year are annualized.
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Capital Growth as of Dec 31, 2024

Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since January 2015, now would be worth 1.91$, with a total return of 91.26% (6.70% annualized).

Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 2015, now would be worth 2.03$, with a total return of 102.86% (7.33% annualized).


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Gyroscopic Investing Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 4.03$, with a total return of 303.44% (9.86% annualized).

Scott Burns Couch Potato Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since March 2010, now would be worth 3.29$, with a total return of 229.10% (8.36% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Dec 31, 2024

The following metrics, updated as of 31 December 2024, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 2024 - 31 December 2024 (1 year)
Period: 1 January 2020 - 31 December 2024 (5 years)
Period: 1 January 2015 - 31 December 2024 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 December 2024 (~15 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Couch Potato
Author Gyroscopic Investing Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 50%
Fixed Income 60% 50%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 13.97 12.73
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 11.20 9.99
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.01 -3.08
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -6.01 -3.08
Start to Recovery (months) 3 2
Longest Negative Period (months) 4 2
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.80 7.20
Sharpe Ratio 0.69 1.05
Sortino Ratio 0.85 1.29
Ulcer Index 2.30 1.15
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.09 1.77
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 2.32 4.13
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2024 - 31 December 2024
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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Couch Potato
Author Gyroscopic Investing Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 50%
Fixed Income 60% 50%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 4.55 7.72
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 0.41 3.46
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -19.77
Start to Recovery (months) 36* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -19.77
Start to Recovery (months) 36* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 47 32
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 17.23 11.64
Sharpe Ratio 0.13 0.46
Sortino Ratio 0.17 0.61
Ulcer Index 16.63 7.45
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.26 0.66
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.13 0.39
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2020 - 31 December 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Couch Potato
Author Gyroscopic Investing Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 50%
Fixed Income 60% 50%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.70 7.33
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 3.63 4.24
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -19.77
Start to Recovery (months) 36* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -19.77
Start to Recovery (months) 36* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 52 32
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 13.77 9.39
Sharpe Ratio 0.37 0.61
Sortino Ratio 0.50 0.81
Ulcer Index 12.09 5.48
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.49 0.78
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.20 0.37
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 2015 - 31 December 2024
Swipe left to see all data
Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Couch Potato
Author Gyroscopic Investing Scott Burns
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 50%
Fixed Income 60% 50%
Commodities 10% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 9.86 8.36
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 7.11 5.65
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -19.77
Start to Recovery (months) 36* 27
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -34.04 -19.77
Start to Recovery (months) 36* 27
Longest Negative Period (months) 52 32
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 12.44 8.72
Sharpe Ratio 0.71 0.84
Sortino Ratio 0.94 1.11
Ulcer Index 10.00 4.61
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.79 0.96
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.29 0.42
Metrics calculated over the period 1 March 2010 - 31 December 2024
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 2015 - 31 December 2024 (10 years)
Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 December 2024 (~15 years)

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Couch Potato
Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To		 Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To
-34.04 36* Jan 2022
In progress
-19.77 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-10.72 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-10.03 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-8.06 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-7.55 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-6.85 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-6.04 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-5.79 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-5.47 14 Mar 2015
Apr 2016
-5.23 4 Jan 2021
Apr 2021
-3.61 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020
-3.24 3 Sep 2020
Nov 2020
-3.08 2 Apr 2024
May 2024
-2.92 6 Feb 2018
Jul 2018

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Couch Potato
Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To		 Drawdown
(%) 		Recovery
(#Months)		 From
To
-34.04 36* Jan 2022
In progress
-19.77 27 Jan 2022
Mar 2024
-10.72 5 Feb 2020
Jun 2020
-10.03 12 Aug 2016
Jul 2017
-8.09 6 May 2013
Oct 2013
-8.06 8 Sep 2018
Apr 2019
-7.55 14 Feb 2018
Mar 2019
-6.85 14 Feb 2015
Mar 2016
-6.25 8 May 2011
Dec 2011
-6.11 5 May 2010
Sep 2010
-6.04 4 Sep 2020
Dec 2020
-5.79 4 Sep 2021
Dec 2021
-5.47 14 Mar 2015
Apr 2016
-5.23 4 Jan 2021
Apr 2021
-3.61 3 Feb 2020
Apr 2020

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2010 - 31 December 2024 (~15 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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Desert Portfolio 2x Leveraged Couch Potato
Year Return
(%)		 Drawdown
(%)		 Return
(%)		 Drawdown
(%)
2024
 13.97 -6.01 12.73 -3.08
2023
 15.63 -13.22 14.66 -6.50
2022
 -30.56 -34.04 -16.31 -19.77
2021
 12.18 -5.79 15.67 -2.76
2020
 21.66 -6.04 15.93 -10.72
2019
 30.15 -1.15 19.51 -2.63
2018
 -5.84 -7.55 -3.32 -8.06
2017
 17.48 -1.28 12.07 0.00
2016
 7.95 -10.03 8.75 -2.08
2015
 -1.47 -6.85 -0.70 -5.47
2014
 17.56 -3.41 8.07 -2.34
2013
 8.45 -8.09 12.48 -3.18
2012
 14.13 -2.65 11.42 -2.32
2011
 18.75 -3.56 7.12 -6.25
Mastering Etf Investing
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Mastering ETF Investing
Build wealth
with Lazy Portfolios and Passive Investing
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English book
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