Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio vs Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio Portfolio Comparison

Simulation Settings
Period: January 1871 - March 2025 (~154 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 March 2025
Rebalancing: at every Jan 1st
Currency: USD
Inflation: US
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Results
30 Years
All (since January 1871)
Inflation Adjusted:
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 1995
8.88$
Final Capital
March 2025
7.55%
Yearly Return
7.47%
Std Deviation
-20.58%
Max Drawdown
39months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 1995
4.20$
Final Capital
March 2025
4.90%
Yearly Return
7.47%
Std Deviation
-27.85%
Max Drawdown
43months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
12.7K$
Final Capital
March 2025
6.32%
Yearly Return
6.56%
Std Deviation
-37.02%
Max Drawdown
68months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
497.15$
Final Capital
March 2025
4.11%
Yearly Return
6.56%
Std Deviation
-47.73%
Max Drawdown
124months
Recovery Period
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 1995
7.87$
Final Capital
March 2025
7.12%
Yearly Return
7.04%
Std Deviation
-19.17%
Max Drawdown
25months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
April 1995
3.72$
Final Capital
March 2025
4.48%
Yearly Return
7.04%
Std Deviation
-24.11%
Max Drawdown
43months*
Recovery Period
* in progress
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
23.7K$
Final Capital
March 2025
6.75%
Yearly Return
7.38%
Std Deviation
-43.68%
Max Drawdown
73months
Recovery Period
1.00$
Initial Capital
January 1871
926.15$
Final Capital
March 2025
4.53%
Yearly Return
7.38%
Std Deviation
-45.57%
Max Drawdown
108months
Recovery Period

As of March 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio obtained a 7.55% compound annual return, with a 7.47% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -20.58% which has been ongoing for 39 months and is still in progress.

As of March 2025, in the previous 30 Years, the Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio obtained a 7.12% compound annual return, with a 7.04% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -19.17% that required 25 months to be recovered.

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the portfolio creators, who are the sole owners of their intellectual property. The translation of asset allocations into ETFs is based on the interpretation of LazyPortfolioETF.com and may not exactly reflect the original intent of the portfolio creators. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only.
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Asset Allocations and ETFs

The compared portfolios have the following asset allocations.

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
30.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
40.00
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond
15.00
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond
7.50
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Tracking
7.50
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust
Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio
Weight
(%)
ETF
Ticker
Name
40.00
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market
60.00
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
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Portfolio Returns as of Mar 31, 2025

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • rebalancing: at every Jan 1st.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
RETURN COMPARISON
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2025 (~154 years)
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Return (%) as of Mar 31, 2025
YTD
(3M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~154Y)
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_ray_dalio.webp All Weather Portfolio
Ray Dalio
2.76 -1.21 -0.34 6.84 3.90 4.73 7.55 6.32
//www.lazyportfolioetf.com/wp-content/themes/dynamico-child/img/author/avatar_us_author.webp Stocks/Bonds 40/60
-- Market Benchmark
-0.26 -2.31 -0.84 6.27 6.96 5.73 7.12 6.75
Return over 1 year are annualized.
Tailored Portfolios for every Investment Strategy

Capital Growth as of Mar 31, 2025

Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1995, now would be worth 8.88$, with a total return of 788.32% (7.55% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since April 1995, now would be worth 7.87$, with a total return of 687.08% (7.12% annualized).


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Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 12743.16$, with a total return of 1274216.49% (6.32% annualized).

Stocks/Bonds 40/60 Portfolio: an investment of 1$, since January 1871, now would be worth 23739.71$, with a total return of 2373870.69% (6.75% annualized).


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Portfolio Metrics as of Mar 31, 2025

The following metrics, updated as of 31 March 2025, provide an overview of performance and risk, with the best value in each row highlighted within the table.

METRIC COMPARISON
Period: 1 April 2024 - 31 March 2025 (1 year)
Period: 1 April 2020 - 31 March 2025 (5 years)
Period: 1 April 2015 - 31 March 2025 (10 years)
Period: 1 April 1995 - 31 March 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2025 (~154 years)
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All Weather Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60
Author Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 40%
Fixed Income 55% 60%
Commodities 15% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.84 6.27
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.30 3.74
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.73 -3.23
Start to Recovery (months) 3 3
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.73 -2.55
Start to Recovery (months) 3 4*
Longest Negative Period (months) 6* 6*
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.19 7.64
Sharpe Ratio 0.24 0.18
Sortino Ratio 0.29 0.23
Ulcer Index 1.65 1.41
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.84 0.82
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 1.84 1.94
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2024 - 31 March 2025
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All Weather Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60
Author Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 40%
Fixed Income 55% 60%
Commodities 15% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 3.90 6.96
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) -0.46 2.47
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -18.63
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -18.63
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 45 38
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 10.47 9.76
Sharpe Ratio 0.14 0.46
Sortino Ratio 0.19 0.63
Ulcer Index 9.54 7.37
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.37 0.71
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.19 0.37
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2020 - 31 March 2025
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All Weather Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60
Author Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 40%
Fixed Income 55% 60%
Commodities 15% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 4.73 5.73
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 1.60 2.57
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -18.63
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 30
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -18.63
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 30
Longest Negative Period (months) 46 38
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 8.46 8.06
Sharpe Ratio 0.36 0.50
Sortino Ratio 0.49 0.67
Ulcer Index 6.99 5.39
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.56 0.71
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.23 0.31
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 2015 - 31 March 2025
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All Weather Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60
Author Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 40%
Fixed Income 55% 60%
Commodities 15% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 7.55 7.12
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.90 4.48
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -19.17
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 25
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -20.58 -8.59
Start to Recovery (months) 39* 33
Longest Negative Period (months) 46 50
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 7.47 7.04
Sharpe Ratio 0.70 0.69
Sortino Ratio 0.95 0.91
Ulcer Index 4.45 4.21
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 1.01 1.01
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.37 0.37
Metrics calculated over the period 1 April 1995 - 31 March 2025
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All Weather Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60
Author Ray Dalio
ASSET ALLOCATION
Stocks 30% 40%
Fixed Income 55% 60%
Commodities 15% 0%
PERFORMANCES
Annualized Return (%) 6.32 6.75
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) 4.11 4.53
DRAWDOWN
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -43.68
Start to Recovery (months) 68 73
Longest Drawdown Depth (%) -37.02 -43.68
Start to Recovery (months) 68 73
Longest Negative Period (months) 84 85
RISK INDICATORS
Standard Deviation (%) 6.56 7.38
Sharpe Ratio 0.35 0.37
Sortino Ratio 0.50 0.52
Ulcer Index 4.58 5.44
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.96 0.91
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 0.17 0.15
Metrics calculated over the period 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2025
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

DRAWDOWN COMPARISON
Period: 1 April 1995 - 31 March 2025 (30 years)
Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2025 (~154 years)

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All Weather Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-20.58 39* Jan 2022
In progress
-19.17 25 Nov 2007
Nov 2009
-18.63 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-11.57 9 Jan 2009
Sep 2009
-11.38 6 Jul 2008
Dec 2008
-8.59 33 Sep 2000
May 2003
-8.09 4 Feb 2020
May 2020
-6.66 17 Feb 2015
Jun 2016
-6.42 13 Aug 2016
Aug 2017
-6.25 5 Jul 1998
Nov 1998
-5.36 7 Sep 2018
Mar 2019
-5.29 9 May 2013
Jan 2014
-4.83 4 Jul 1998
Oct 1998
-4.76 6 Apr 2004
Sep 2004
-4.76 7 Jun 2011
Dec 2011

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All Weather Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
Drawdown
(%)
Recovery
(#Months)
From
To
-43.68 73 Sep 1929
Sep 1935
-37.02 68 Sep 1929
Apr 1935
-21.33 53 Mar 1937
Jul 1941
-20.58 39* Jan 2022
In progress
-19.17 25 Nov 2007
Nov 2009
-18.63 30 Jan 2022
Jun 2024
-17.43 37 Mar 1937
Mar 1940
-17.04 29 Jan 1973
May 1975
-13.08 14 Sep 1987
Oct 1988
-12.98 25 Dec 1968
Dec 1970
-12.84 24 Dec 1968
Nov 1970
-12.31 21 Dec 1980
Aug 1982
-11.62 22 Oct 1906
Jul 1908
-11.57 9 Jan 2009
Sep 2009
-11.38 6 Jul 2008
Dec 2008

Rolling Returns

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the Simulation Settings.

You can explore the Rolling Returns for a single portfolio, or check the return differential, by switching on "Head To Head" toggle.

Rolling Returns Comparison
Annualized Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1871 - 31 March 2025 (~154 years)


Head To Head (Ptf 1 vs Ptf 2):
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Yearly Returns

For each year, the following table provides the return and intra-year drawdown. The highlighted returns represent the highest values for that specific year.

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All Weather Portfolio Stocks/Bonds 40/60
Year Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
Return
(%)
Drawdown
(%)
2025
2.76 -1.21 -0.26 -2.31
2024
6.36 -3.73 10.35 -3.23
2023
9.95 -9.25 13.66 -6.58
2022
-18.39 -20.58 -15.67 -18.63
2021
8.27 -3.74 9.15 -2.56
2020
15.88 -3.68 13.04 -8.09
2019
17.93 -0.83 17.57 -1.77
2018
-3.02 -4.71 -2.15 -5.36
2017
11.55 -0.49 10.63 0.00
2016
6.50 -6.42 6.64 -1.57
2015
-3.23 -6.66 0.48 -3.41
2014
12.89 -2.52 8.51 -1.20
2013
1.71 -5.29 12.12 -1.84
2012
7.02 -1.33 8.47 -2.11
2011
15.64 -2.00 5.14 -4.76
2010
12.88 -0.69 10.69 -3.96
2009
2.71 -11.57 13.74 -8.68
2008
2.38 -11.38 -10.67 -14.39
2007
11.88 -1.20 6.30 -1.93
2006
6.93 -1.71 8.84 -1.40
2005
8.55 -2.99 3.96 -1.77
2004
9.41 -4.76 7.66 -2.46
2003
13.96 -4.74 14.68 -1.08
2002
7.77 -1.56 -3.23 -6.97
2001
-2.77 -4.61 0.67 -5.62
2000
10.15 -2.26 2.61 -4.51
1999
6.28 -3.79 9.07 -2.57
1998
11.05 -4.83 14.45 -6.25
1997
13.54 -2.89 18.06 -2.41
1996
8.27 -2.11 10.53 -2.15
1995
27.44 0.00 25.22 0.00
1994
-3.28 -6.83 -1.66 -5.98
1993
12.02 -1.98 10.06 -1.23
1992
6.76 -2.23 7.93 -1.27
1991
17.98 -1.86 22.10 -1.98
1990
3.85 -5.51 2.76 -5.70
1989
20.45 -1.14 19.43 -1.12
1988
10.59 -1.93 11.34 -1.71
1987
3.47 -8.78 1.97 -13.08
1986
20.56 -3.75 14.89 -4.37
1985
28.68 -2.13 25.86 -1.17
1984
8.03 -6.61 9.88 -5.84
1983
7.06 -3.16 12.20 -2.64
1982
31.65 -3.13 26.88 -2.17
1981
-3.74 -11.76 3.99 -6.81
1980
10.35 -10.89 14.99 -8.39
1979
19.26 -6.57 12.91 -6.34
1978
7.24 -3.43 4.07 -5.90
1977
2.14 -2.83 -0.72 -3.59
1976
15.78 -1.12 18.84 -1.06
1975
12.93 -5.16 19.54 -5.93
1974
1.78 -11.04 -7.71 -13.50
1973
6.67 -2.66 -4.59 -5.73
1972
14.50 0.00 8.68 -1.10
1971
14.60 -3.81 12.75 -5.80
1970
10.73 -7.59 12.26 -8.78
1969
-7.07 -8.33 -5.38 -7.12
1968
5.61 -2.31 7.09 -3.10
1967
4.93 -2.43 10.63 -2.31
1966
-0.21 -6.05 -0.51 -7.40
1965
4.08 -1.14 6.11 -1.52
1964
7.34 -0.33 8.90 -0.46
1963
6.73 -1.03 9.44 -1.27
1962
0.34 -6.12 -0.42 -8.22
1961
7.57 -1.53 11.57 -1.78
1960
8.59 -1.47 8.19 -2.58
1959
1.91 -2.83 4.09 -3.21
1958
9.85 -0.95 16.24 -0.74
1957
1.56 -3.70 1.17 -4.90
1956
0.45 -3.72 2.47 -3.96
1955
6.44 -0.66 9.83 -0.87
1954
17.99 -1.18 21.93 -1.61
1953
0.83 -4.42 2.45 -4.06
1952
4.21 -1.76 6.80 -2.08
1951
4.78 -2.55 8.33 -2.81
1950
9.14 -1.91 12.06 -2.45
1949
8.58 -0.97 10.62 -1.47
1948
1.89 -3.09 2.50 -4.32
1947
1.53 -1.94 1.27 -2.13
1946
-0.92 -7.07 -2.08 -9.26
1945
15.78 -0.88 18.36 -1.37
1944
7.97 -0.39 9.86 -0.57
1943
9.97 -2.77 12.64 -3.58
1942
6.45 -3.58 7.47 -5.00
1941
-1.20 -4.99 -2.69 -6.19
1940
1.87 -7.70 -0.28 -10.39
1939
2.79 -3.74 2.79 -5.09
1938
10.37 -7.91 13.98 -10.41
1937
-10.07 -12.18 -12.81 -15.42
1936
14.42 -2.08 16.17 -2.94
1935
16.55 -1.39 20.86 -2.56
1934
8.27 -3.11 5.30 -5.32
1933
23.55 -7.04 24.67 -9.11
1932
5.54 -10.85 3.90 -15.57
1931
-17.79 -21.07 -18.89 -24.29
1930
-5.90 -10.68 -6.69 -13.91
1929
-1.20 -10.34 -1.97 -13.91
1928
11.11 -1.64 14.91 -1.98
1927
14.04 -1.26 16.51 -1.80
1926
6.53 -2.18 7.41 -3.13
1925
10.80 -1.86 12.21 -2.63
1924
13.10 -0.48 15.54 -0.89
1923
4.44 -3.38 4.38 -4.74
1922
12.65 -1.45 14.92 -1.92
1921
9.83 -2.12 11.92 -3.20
1920
-5.55 -5.68 -5.48 -5.80
1919
5.81 -2.69 9.18 -3.41
1918
7.85 -0.84 10.02 -1.24
1917
-7.65 -7.65 -8.47 -8.47
1916
7.39 -0.65 5.41 -1.10
1915
14.08 -0.61 16.21 -0.82
1914
0.88 -4.99 1.71 -6.40
1913
-0.05 -2.01 0.41 -2.35
1912
3.48 -1.15 3.79 -1.64
1911
3.28 -2.93 3.85 -3.88
1910
0.15 -3.13 1.13 -3.45
1909
6.57 -0.53 7.30 -0.82
1908
16.74 -0.51 22.62 -0.76
1907
-8.40 -8.70 -9.88 -10.61
1906
0.59 -3.33 0.68 -4.20
1905
7.83 -1.78 8.89 -2.45
1904
12.56 -0.84 16.35 -1.04
1903
-4.67 -7.60 -5.56 -9.38
1902
3.24 -2.40 3.88 -3.25
1901
6.47 -2.76 8.86 -3.45
1900
8.45 -1.38 10.62 -1.73
1899
2.72 -2.13 1.22 -3.83
1898
11.99 -4.26 14.49 -5.07
1897
9.70 -0.85 11.63 -1.44
1896
2.87 -5.53 3.73 -6.81
1895
2.80 -4.23 2.01 -5.62
1894
4.58 -1.05 5.09 -1.63
1893
-4.72 -9.21 -4.70 -11.05
1892
3.45 -0.93 3.70 -1.24
1891
7.45 -2.60 10.78 -2.88
1890
-1.50 -4.15 -1.74 -5.18
1889
5.38 -0.71 4.31 -1.08
1888
4.41 -1.57 4.61 -1.96
1887
-0.36 -4.08 0.60 -4.61
1886
5.02 -1.39 5.22 -2.17
1885
11.99 -0.98 15.19 -0.95
1884
-1.97 -5.63 -2.59 -7.14
1883
0.14 -2.08 0.38 -2.52
1882
3.24 -1.91 3.29 -2.59
1881
3.46 -3.20 2.17 -4.53
1880
12.13 -2.30 13.77 -3.35
1879
17.34 -0.47 21.48 -0.68
1878
7.44 -0.16 10.38 -0.17
1877
1.94 -4.81 1.75 -6.47
1876
-0.20 -3.96 -1.36 -5.59
1875
7.61 -1.41 6.03 -1.68
1874
7.35 -1.45 10.10 -1.40
1873
1.49 -7.70 1.53 -9.21
1872
5.32 -2.48 5.54 -3.01
1871
8.01 -1.75 7.90 -2.38
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