Aberdeen Standard Physical Palladium Shares ETF (PALL): Rolling Returns

Time Period: from August 1984 to September 2024 (~40 years)
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When holding the Aberdeen Standard Physical Palladium Shares ETF (PALL) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~40 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 285 months (from January 2001 to September 2024). This negative serie is not closed yet.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

ABERDEEN STANDARD PHYSICAL PALLADIUM SHARES ETF (PALL) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1984 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)

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As of Sep 30, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 2.00%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ABERDEEN STANDARD PHYSICAL PALLADIUM SHARES ETF (PALL) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 October 1994 - 30 September 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1984 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ABERDEEN STANDARD PHYSICAL PALLADIUM SHARES ETF (PALL) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 August 1984 - 30 September 2024 (~40 years)
US Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-65.63%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+9.36% +154.88%
May 2009 - Apr 2010
41.19%
194 out of 471
-65.63%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009
+5.70% +149.38%
May 2009 - Apr 2010
42.89%
202 out of 471
-52.47%
May 2001 - Apr 2003
+5.81% +108.17%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2010
39.22%
180 out of 459
-53.36%
May 2001 - Apr 2003
+2.75% +103.84%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2010
43.36%
199 out of 459
-41.41%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2003
+7.72% +67.37%
Jan 1998 - Dec 2000
33.33%
149 out of 447
-42.58%
Jan 2001 - Dec 2003
+4.99% +63.18%
Jan 1998 - Dec 2000
39.15%
175 out of 447
-34.88%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2005
+8.60% +70.30%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2001
30.11%
131 out of 435
-36.29%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2005
+6.16% +66.23%
Feb 1997 - Jan 2001
36.78%
160 out of 435
-25.07%
Aug 2000 - Jul 2005
+7.53% +52.28%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2001
29.08%
123 out of 423
-26.86%
Aug 2000 - Jul 2005
+5.34% +48.47%
Feb 1996 - Jan 2001
38.30%
162 out of 423
-17.16%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2007
+7.68% +37.12%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2001
28.22%
116 out of 411
-19.17%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2007
+5.08% +33.64%
Feb 1995 - Jan 2001
39.90%
164 out of 411
-13.20%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2008
+8.92% +35.50%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2001
23.81%
95 out of 399
-15.52%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2008
+6.57% +32.01%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2001
35.59%
142 out of 399
-19.09%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2009
+7.75% +32.35%
Feb 1993 - Jan 2001
13.18%
51 out of 387
-20.97%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2009
+5.26% +28.97%
Feb 1993 - Jan 2001
30.49%
118 out of 387
-13.34%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+7.71% +31.83%
Feb 1992 - Jan 2001
9.87%
37 out of 375
-15.47%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+5.36% +28.37%
Feb 1992 - Jan 2001
21.87%
82 out of 375
-5.72%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+7.84% +28.76%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2001
9.37%
34 out of 363
-8.10%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2009
+5.17% +25.39%
Feb 1991 - Jan 2001
24.24%
88 out of 363
-4.70%
May 1998 - Apr 2009
+8.29% +25.79%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
6.55%
23 out of 351
-7.02%
May 1998 - Apr 2009
+5.62% +23.55%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
19.09%
67 out of 351
-2.90%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2013
+7.69% +23.66%
May 2009 - Apr 2021
5.01%
17 out of 339
-5.21%
Dec 1984 - Nov 1996
+5.00% +21.35%
May 2009 - Apr 2021
10.03%
34 out of 339
-3.13%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2014
+7.76% +21.13%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
2.45%
8 out of 327
-5.29%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2014
+4.97% +18.45%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
10.40%
34 out of 327
-2.31%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2015
+8.37% +18.16%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2022
1.90%
6 out of 315
-4.32%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2015
+5.50% +15.63%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2022
11.43%
36 out of 315
-5.01%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2016
+8.22% +18.89%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2020
3.96%
12 out of 303
-6.91%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2016
+5.56% +16.55%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2020
10.56%
32 out of 303
-2.40%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+7.77% +18.12%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2021
4.47%
13 out of 291
-4.42%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+5.12% +15.68%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2021
13.40%
39 out of 291
-0.34%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2018
+7.19% +16.28%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2022
0.36%
1 out of 279
-2.36%
Feb 2001 - Jan 2018
+4.21% +13.72%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2020
14.70%
41 out of 279
+0.50%
Aug 2000 - Jul 2018
+6.48% +17.43%
May 2003 - Apr 2021
0.00%
0 out of 267
-1.57%
Aug 2000 - Jul 2018
+3.90% +15.00%
May 2003 - Apr 2021
8.99%
24 out of 267
+1.20%
Sep 1986 - Aug 2005
+7.36% +14.89%
May 2003 - Apr 2022
0.00%
0 out of 255
-1.85%
Sep 1986 - Aug 2005
+4.76% +12.18%
May 2003 - Apr 2022
7.45%
19 out of 255
+1.24%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2009
+7.45% +12.13%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2010
0.00%
0 out of 243
-1.53%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2009
+5.13% +9.38%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2010
8.64%
21 out of 243
+2.80%
Aug 1984 - Jul 2009
+7.66% +12.98%
May 1996 - Apr 2021
0.00%
0 out of 183
-0.13%
Aug 1984 - Jul 2009
+5.02% +10.59%
May 1996 - Apr 2021
0.55%
1 out of 183
+5.09%
Mar 1986 - Feb 2016
+7.29% +11.87%
Sep 1991 - Aug 2021
0.00%
0 out of 123
+2.40%
Sep 1986 - Aug 2016
+4.64% +9.33%
Jan 1991 - Dec 2020
0.00%
0 out of 123
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