When holding the Aberdeen Standard Platinum Shares ETF (PPLT) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~57 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 538 months (from March 1980 to December 2024). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Aberdeen Standard Platinum Shares ETF (PPLT) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Dec 31, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -3.37%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-50.62%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2009 |
+0.80% |
+121.92%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1980 |
47.91%
321 out of 670 |
-54.95%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1981 |
-1.94% |
+103.61%
Nov 1977 - Oct 1978 |
54.03%
362 out of 670 |
-38.83%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1982 |
-0.06% |
+99.88%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1980 |
50.15%
330 out of 658 |
-44.13%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1982 |
-3.07% |
+78.50%
Mar 1978 - Feb 1980 |
60.03%
395 out of 658 |
-26.28%
Feb 1969 - Jan 1972 |
+1.12% |
+76.09%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1980 |
46.59%
301 out of 646 |
-29.71%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1983 |
-2.61% |
+60.04%
Mar 1977 - Feb 1980 |
56.35%
364 out of 646 |
-19.21%
May 1968 - Apr 1972 |
+2.99% |
+60.57%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1980 |
36.28%
230 out of 634 |
-23.76%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1984 |
-0.93% |
+47.27%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1980 |
53.94%
342 out of 634 |
-22.88%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
+3.29% |
+42.88%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1980 |
35.69%
222 out of 622 |
-27.32%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
-0.30% |
+31.72%
Mar 1975 - Feb 1980 |
52.41%
326 out of 622 |
-13.05%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986 |
+2.65% |
+28.30%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2008 |
37.87%
231 out of 610 |
-17.68%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1986 |
-0.83% |
+24.55%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2008 |
53.28%
325 out of 610 |
-12.00%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2018 |
+1.74% |
+28.99%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980 |
39.30%
235 out of 598 |
-13.68%
Feb 1969 - Jan 1976 |
-1.59% |
+18.36%
Feb 1973 - Jan 1980 |
56.69%
339 out of 598 |
-10.47%
Jun 2011 - May 2019 |
+2.86% |
+32.22%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980 |
39.25%
230 out of 586 |
-12.76%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1988 |
-1.07% |
+21.96%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1980 |
54.95%
322 out of 586 |
-10.03%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
+3.55% |
+26.85%
Mar 1971 - Feb 1980 |
37.11%
213 out of 574 |
-11.48%
Apr 2011 - Mar 2020 |
-0.70% |
+18.16%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2008 |
53.31%
306 out of 574 |
-8.86%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2018 |
+3.79% |
+19.06%
Jul 1998 - Jun 2008 |
36.65%
206 out of 562 |
-10.19%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1990 |
-0.76% |
+15.69%
Mar 1998 - Feb 2008 |
51.96%
292 out of 562 |
-8.50%
Jun 2008 - May 2019 |
+3.45% |
+16.80%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2008 |
32.91%
181 out of 550 |
-11.63%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1991 |
-0.69% |
+13.79%
Mar 1997 - Feb 2008 |
52.18%
287 out of 550 |
-8.60%
Apr 2008 - Mar 2020 |
+4.25% |
+14.91%
Jul 1996 - Jun 2008 |
28.25%
152 out of 538 |
-11.77%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1992 |
-0.90% |
+12.04%
May 1999 - Apr 2011 |
55.02%
296 out of 538 |
-7.24%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993 |
+3.76% |
+13.64%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2008 |
29.09%
153 out of 526 |
-11.38%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1993 |
-0.67% |
+10.68%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2008 |
54.18%
285 out of 526 |
-6.25%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2022 |
+3.72% |
+12.92%
Mar 1994 - Feb 2008 |
26.65%
137 out of 514 |
-9.94%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994 |
-0.57% |
+9.97%
Mar 1994 - Feb 2008 |
52.72%
271 out of 514 |
-5.81%
Jul 2008 - Jun 2023 |
+3.76% |
+12.99%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2008 |
25.90%
130 out of 502 |
-9.24%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1995 |
-0.10% |
+10.04%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2008 |
50.60%
254 out of 502 |
-5.94%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2024 |
+3.95% |
+11.88%
Mar 1992 - Feb 2008 |
17.14%
84 out of 490 |
-8.83%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1996 |
-0.16% |
+8.92%
Mar 1992 - Feb 2008 |
51.63%
253 out of 490 |
-4.99%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1997 |
+3.80% |
+10.60%
Dec 1971 - Nov 1988 |
13.60%
65 out of 478 |
-8.90%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1997 |
+0.07% |
+7.49%
Jul 1991 - Jun 2008 |
48.12%
230 out of 478 |
-4.75%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998 |
+4.50% |
+9.66%
Feb 1971 - Jan 1989 |
11.16%
52 out of 466 |
-8.47%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998 |
+0.28% |
+6.95%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2011 |
45.49%
212 out of 466 |
-4.53%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1999 |
+4.51% |
+9.29%
May 1992 - Apr 2011 |
7.71%
35 out of 454 |
-8.21%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1999 |
+0.27% |
+6.59%
May 1992 - Apr 2011 |
44.93%
204 out of 454 |
-3.24%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2000 |
+4.33% |
+8.86%
Sep 1991 - Aug 2011 |
6.56%
29 out of 442 |
-6.87%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2000 |
+0.26% |
+6.15%
Sep 1991 - Aug 2011 |
45.70%
202 out of 442 |
-0.26%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2005 |
+3.88% |
+7.57%
May 1985 - Apr 2010 |
0.26%
1 out of 382 |
-4.18%
Oct 1968 - Sep 1993 |
+0.73% |
+4.56%
May 1985 - Apr 2010 |
32.98%
126 out of 382 |
+0.77%
Dec 1988 - Nov 2018 |
+3.63% |
+7.75%
Mar 1978 - Feb 2008 |
0.00%
0 out of 322 |
-4.01%
Jul 1968 - Jun 1998 |
+0.30% |
+3.47%
Mar 1978 - Feb 2008 |
39.75%
128 out of 322 |
Aberdeen Standard Platinum Shares ETF (PPLT) ETF: Historical Returns