When holding the Amundi Euro Government Bond 1-3Y (LYQ2.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~42 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 139 months (from March 2012 to September 2023).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 140 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Amundi Euro Government Bond 1-3Y (LYQ2.DE) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Aug 31, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -0.21%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-4.89%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+3.08% |
+18.31%
Nov 1983 - Oct 1984 |
18.02%
89 out of 494 |
-13.43%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
+1.29% |
+15.77%
Nov 1983 - Oct 1984 |
34.41%
170 out of 494 |
-2.92%
Mar 2021 - Feb 2023 |
+3.18% |
+16.12%
Apr 1984 - Mar 1986 |
17.63%
85 out of 482 |
-9.42%
Mar 2021 - Feb 2023 |
+1.56% |
+14.64%
Apr 1984 - Mar 1986 |
32.16%
155 out of 482 |
-2.14%
Mar 2020 - Feb 2023 |
+3.23% |
+14.75%
Apr 1983 - Mar 1986 |
17.45%
82 out of 470 |
-7.10%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2023 |
+1.56% |
+12.64%
Apr 1983 - Mar 1986 |
31.06%
146 out of 470 |
-1.60%
Mar 2019 - Feb 2023 |
+3.37% |
+12.29%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1986 |
16.59%
76 out of 458 |
-5.46%
Mar 2019 - Feb 2023 |
+1.42% |
+10.70%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1986 |
25.98%
119 out of 458 |
-1.38%
Mar 2018 - Feb 2023 |
+3.17% |
+10.12%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1987 |
13.68%
61 out of 446 |
-4.73%
Mar 2018 - Feb 2023 |
+1.15% |
+8.55%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1987 |
19.51%
87 out of 446 |
-1.23%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2023 |
+3.24% |
+9.70%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1988 |
12.44%
54 out of 434 |
-4.22%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2023 |
+1.07% |
+8.24%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1988 |
17.51%
76 out of 434 |
-1.09%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2023 |
+3.09% |
+9.31%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1989 |
9.95%
42 out of 422 |
-3.93%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2023 |
+1.09% |
+7.62%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1989 |
19.91%
84 out of 422 |
-0.97%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
+3.15% |
+9.44%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1990 |
7.80%
32 out of 410 |
-3.44%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
+1.09% |
+7.38%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1990 |
21.22%
87 out of 410 |
-0.67%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2023 |
+3.14% |
+9.36%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1991 |
7.29%
29 out of 398 |
-3.02%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2023 |
+1.12% |
+7.03%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1991 |
19.60%
78 out of 398 |
-0.37%
Mar 2013 - Feb 2023 |
+3.13% |
+9.29%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1992 |
6.48%
25 out of 386 |
-2.59%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2024 |
+1.11% |
+6.86%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1992 |
18.13%
70 out of 386 |
-0.14%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2023 |
+3.18% |
+9.22%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1993 |
4.28%
16 out of 374 |
-2.23%
May 2013 - Apr 2024 |
+1.13% |
+6.69%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1993 |
15.51%
58 out of 374 |
+0.12%
Mar 2012 - Feb 2024 |
+3.27% |
+8.74%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 362 |
-2.00%
Sep 2011 - Aug 2023 |
+1.26% |
+6.21%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1994 |
12.71%
46 out of 362 |
+0.09%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2023 |
+3.33% |
+8.63%
May 1983 - Apr 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 350 |
-2.01%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2023 |
+1.42% |
+6.09%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1995 |
11.14%
39 out of 350 |
+0.21%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 |
+3.43% |
+8.70%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 338 |
-1.94%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 |
+1.52% |
+6.18%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1996 |
13.02%
44 out of 338 |
+0.43%
Jun 2009 - May 2024 |
+3.41% |
+8.43%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 326 |
-1.68%
Aug 2009 - Jul 2024 |
+1.52% |
+5.97%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1997 |
15.64%
51 out of 326 |
+0.77%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2024 |
+3.58% |
+8.20%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 314 |
-1.28%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2023 |
+1.60% |
+5.85%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1998 |
14.65%
46 out of 314 |
+0.87%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2023 |
+3.67% |
+7.77%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 302 |
-1.20%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2023 |
+1.63% |
+5.46%
Dec 1982 - Nov 1999 |
15.56%
47 out of 302 |
+0.84%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2023 |
+3.66% |
+7.50%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 290 |
-1.23%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2023 |
+1.62% |
+5.19%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2000 |
14.83%
43 out of 290 |
+0.95%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2023 |
+3.64% |
+7.42%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 278 |
-1.14%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2023 |
+1.61% |
+5.13%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2001 |
13.31%
37 out of 278 |
+1.00%
Jul 2003 - Jun 2023 |
+3.65% |
+7.23%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2002 |
0.00%
0 out of 266 |
-1.09%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023 |
+1.65% |
+4.94%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2002 |
13.16%
35 out of 266 |
+1.51%
May 1999 - Apr 2024 |
+3.92% |
+6.24%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2007 |
0.00%
0 out of 206 |
-0.60%
May 1999 - Apr 2024 |
+1.89% |
+3.94%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2007 |
13.11%
27 out of 206 |
+2.21%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2024 |
+3.87% |
+5.68%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2012 |
0.00%
0 out of 146 |
+0.16%
May 1994 - Apr 2024 |
+1.76% |
+3.44%
Dec 1982 - Nov 2012 |
0.00%
0 out of 146 |
Amundi Euro Government Bond 1-3Y (LYQ2.DE) ETF: Historical Returns