When holding the Amundi Euro Government Bond 7-10Y (LYXD.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~42 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 117 months (from September 2014 to May 2024).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 118 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Amundi Euro Government Bond 7-10Y (LYXD.DE) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Aug 31, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.27%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-18.83%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+5.14% |
+18.03%
May 1995 - Apr 1996 |
17.21%
84 out of 488 |
-25.66%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+3.13% |
+15.53%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986 |
27.25%
133 out of 488 |
-11.24%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022 |
+5.18% |
+14.27%
Mar 1995 - Feb 1997 |
10.08%
48 out of 476 |
-17.09%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022 |
+3.19% |
+12.37%
Jun 1984 - May 1986 |
21.85%
104 out of 476 |
-7.43%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+4.74% |
+12.13%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1993 |
6.68%
31 out of 464 |
-12.51%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+2.93% |
+10.12%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998 |
12.28%
57 out of 464 |
-5.53%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023 |
+4.79% |
+11.08%
Feb 1995 - Jan 1999 |
6.42%
29 out of 452 |
-9.40%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023 |
+3.12% |
+9.34%
May 1995 - Apr 1999 |
9.51%
43 out of 452 |
-2.94%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2024 |
+4.80% |
+9.52%
Jan 1989 - Dec 1993 |
6.14%
27 out of 440 |
-6.49%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2024 |
+3.06% |
+6.64%
Jun 1994 - May 1999 |
8.41%
37 out of 440 |
-2.08%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
+4.82% |
+9.40%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1993 |
6.54%
28 out of 428 |
-5.15%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2023 |
+3.24% |
+6.83%
Oct 1992 - Sep 1998 |
9.11%
39 out of 428 |
-2.06%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 |
+4.71% |
+9.30%
Mar 1990 - Feb 1997 |
6.01%
25 out of 416 |
-4.99%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 |
+3.17% |
+6.43%
Dec 1991 - Nov 1998 |
7.93%
33 out of 416 |
-1.28%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
+4.65% |
+9.14%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999 |
5.94%
24 out of 404 |
-3.79%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024 |
+3.13% |
+6.54%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999 |
7.18%
29 out of 404 |
-0.64%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2023 |
+4.42% |
+9.05%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1999 |
3.32%
13 out of 392 |
-2.99%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2023 |
+2.97% |
+6.26%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1999 |
7.40%
29 out of 392 |
+0.25%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2024 |
+4.22% |
+8.64%
Jan 1984 - Dec 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 380 |
-2.08%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2024 |
+2.65% |
+6.18%
Jan 1984 - Dec 1993 |
6.58%
25 out of 380 |
+0.64%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2023 |
+4.23% |
+8.46%
Jan 1988 - Dec 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 368 |
-1.44%
Oct 2012 - Sep 2023 |
+2.44% |
+5.70%
Feb 1988 - Jan 1999 |
6.52%
24 out of 368 |
+1.11%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023 |
+4.26% |
+7.98%
Feb 1987 - Jan 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 356 |
-1.02%
Oct 2011 - Sep 2023 |
+2.56% |
+5.46%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1997 |
7.02%
25 out of 356 |
+0.99%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023 |
+4.46% |
+8.20%
Mar 1984 - Feb 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 344 |
-1.20%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023 |
+2.67% |
+5.74%
Mar 1984 - Feb 1997 |
7.27%
25 out of 344 |
+1.19%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 |
+4.55% |
+8.13%
Apr 1984 - Mar 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 332 |
-0.98%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 |
+2.66% |
+5.76%
Apr 1984 - Mar 1998 |
6.93%
23 out of 332 |
+1.64%
Mar 2008 - Feb 2023 |
+4.54% |
+8.21%
Jan 1984 - Dec 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 320 |
-0.44%
May 2009 - Apr 2024 |
+2.64% |
+5.93%
Feb 1984 - Jan 1999 |
5.94%
19 out of 320 |
+1.69%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2023 |
+4.66% |
+8.06%
May 1983 - Apr 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 308 |
-0.38%
Oct 2007 - Sep 2023 |
+2.76% |
+5.72%
May 1983 - Apr 1999 |
5.52%
17 out of 308 |
+1.59%
Jan 2006 - Dec 2022 |
+4.77% |
+7.42%
Apr 1983 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 296 |
-0.52%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2023 |
+2.74% |
+5.16%
Mar 1984 - Feb 2001 |
6.76%
20 out of 296 |
+1.47%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023 |
+4.78% |
+7.38%
Apr 1983 - Mar 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 284 |
-0.62%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023 |
+2.82% |
+5.08%
Nov 1983 - Oct 2001 |
8.45%
24 out of 284 |
+1.72%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024 |
+5.02% |
+7.36%
Mar 1984 - Feb 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 272 |
-0.39%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024 |
+2.94% |
+5.10%
Mar 1984 - Feb 2003 |
6.99%
19 out of 272 |
+1.84%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023 |
+5.14% |
+7.32%
Jun 1983 - May 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 260 |
-0.28%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023 |
+3.04% |
+5.01%
Jun 1983 - May 2003 |
5.00%
13 out of 260 |
+2.35%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023 |
+5.29% |
+6.37%
Jan 1984 - Dec 2008 |
0.00%
0 out of 200 |
+0.24%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023 |
+3.16% |
+4.11%
Jan 1984 - Dec 2008 |
0.00%
0 out of 200 |
+3.26%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+5.27% |
+6.06%
May 1983 - Apr 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 140 |
+1.16%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+3.20% |
+3.87%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 140 |
Amundi Euro Government Bond 7-10Y (LYXD.DE) ETF: Historical Returns