When holding the Amundi US Treasury Bond 0-1Y EUR Hedged (PR1H.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~75 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 184 months (from February 2008 to May 2023).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 185 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Amundi US Treasury Bond 0-1Y EUR Hedged (PR1H.DE) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Aug 31, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been -0.05%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-1.81%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
+3.92% |
+9.34%
Sep 1991 - Aug 1992 |
12.99%
115 out of 885 |
-11.24%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2022 |
+1.11% |
+7.44%
Jan 1952 - Dec 1952 |
30.96%
274 out of 885 |
-1.34%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2022 |
+4.00% |
+9.10%
Apr 1991 - Mar 1993 |
12.83%
112 out of 873 |
-8.06%
Dec 2020 - Nov 2022 |
+1.20% |
+5.93%
Jun 1951 - May 1953 |
30.70%
268 out of 873 |
-0.98%
Nov 2019 - Oct 2022 |
+4.15% |
+8.74%
Jul 1990 - Jun 1993 |
12.54%
108 out of 861 |
-5.76%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2023 |
+1.21% |
+5.27%
Jan 1951 - Dec 1953 |
31.36%
270 out of 861 |
-0.84%
Nov 2018 - Oct 2022 |
+4.25% |
+8.39%
Oct 1989 - Sep 1993 |
12.01%
102 out of 849 |
-4.60%
Mar 2019 - Feb 2023 |
+1.21% |
+4.51%
Jul 1989 - Jun 1993 |
31.33%
266 out of 849 |
-0.78%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 |
+4.29% |
+7.94%
May 1989 - Apr 1994 |
11.59%
97 out of 837 |
-4.07%
Nov 2017 - Oct 2022 |
+1.28% |
+4.35%
May 1989 - Apr 1994 |
29.87%
250 out of 837 |
-0.77%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022 |
+4.36% |
+7.49%
Jun 1989 - May 1995 |
11.39%
94 out of 825 |
-3.74%
Nov 2016 - Oct 2022 |
+1.30% |
+4.03%
Jun 1989 - May 1995 |
27.88%
230 out of 825 |
-0.74%
Nov 2015 - Oct 2022 |
+4.47% |
+7.14%
Mar 1989 - Feb 1996 |
11.07%
90 out of 813 |
-3.51%
Mar 2016 - Feb 2023 |
+1.39% |
+3.82%
May 1989 - Apr 1996 |
26.45%
215 out of 813 |
-0.72%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2022 |
+4.44% |
+6.78%
Mar 1989 - Feb 1997 |
10.86%
87 out of 801 |
-3.14%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
+1.30% |
+3.79%
May 1985 - Apr 1993 |
26.22%
210 out of 801 |
-0.69%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 |
+4.54% |
+6.46%
Feb 1989 - Jan 1998 |
10.01%
79 out of 789 |
-2.84%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2023 |
+1.29% |
+3.79%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1994 |
25.22%
199 out of 789 |
-0.61%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
+4.59% |
+6.20%
Oct 1988 - Sep 1998 |
9.27%
72 out of 777 |
-2.63%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2023 |
+1.26% |
+3.68%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1994 |
24.71%
192 out of 777 |
-0.52%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2022 |
+4.60% |
+6.07%
Sep 1984 - Aug 1995 |
7.84%
60 out of 765 |
-2.53%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2022 |
+1.19% |
+3.58%
Feb 1985 - Jan 1996 |
23.27%
178 out of 765 |
-0.42%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 |
+4.63% |
+6.03%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1993 |
6.51%
49 out of 753 |
-2.51%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2022 |
+1.15% |
+3.50%
Jan 1984 - Dec 1995 |
20.58%
155 out of 753 |
-0.36%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2022 |
+4.62% |
+6.07%
Feb 1981 - Jan 1994 |
5.26%
39 out of 741 |
-2.43%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2023 |
+1.22% |
+3.44%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1998 |
20.11%
149 out of 741 |
-0.27%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023 |
+4.68% |
+6.11%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1994 |
3.84%
28 out of 729 |
-2.33%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 |
+1.25% |
+3.38%
Mar 1985 - Feb 1999 |
19.62%
143 out of 729 |
-0.10%
Oct 2008 - Sep 2023 |
+4.71% |
+6.06%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1995 |
2.65%
19 out of 717 |
-2.10%
May 2009 - Apr 2024 |
+1.26% |
+3.33%
Feb 1984 - Jan 1999 |
18.41%
132 out of 717 |
+0.14%
Sep 2007 - Aug 2023 |
+4.67% |
+6.01%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 705 |
-1.95%
Sep 2007 - Aug 2023 |
+1.25% |
+3.25%
Feb 1983 - Jan 1999 |
17.73%
125 out of 705 |
+0.30%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2023 |
+4.67% |
+5.92%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1996 |
0.00%
0 out of 693 |
-1.77%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2023 |
+1.25% |
+3.19%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1999 |
16.45%
114 out of 693 |
+0.37%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2023 |
+4.68% |
+5.82%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 681 |
-1.68%
May 2005 - Apr 2023 |
+1.24% |
+3.06%
Aug 1981 - Jul 1999 |
15.12%
103 out of 681 |
+0.43%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2023 |
+4.67% |
+5.73%
Mar 1979 - Feb 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 669 |
-1.63%
Oct 2004 - Sep 2023 |
+1.30% |
+2.95%
Feb 1982 - Jan 2001 |
14.35%
96 out of 669 |
+0.49%
Mar 2003 - Feb 2023 |
+4.65% |
+5.62%
Jan 1979 - Dec 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 657 |
-1.58%
Sep 2003 - Aug 2023 |
+1.28% |
+2.87%
Feb 1982 - Jan 2002 |
13.70%
90 out of 657 |
+1.01%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023 |
+4.75% |
+5.64%
Nov 1969 - Oct 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 597 |
-1.08%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2024 |
+1.44% |
+2.36%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2005 |
9.05%
54 out of 597 |
+1.56%
Sep 1994 - Aug 2024 |
+4.72% |
+5.42%
Jan 1966 - Dec 1995 |
0.00%
0 out of 537 |
-0.50%
Jul 1994 - Jun 2024 |
+1.55% |
+2.02%
Mar 1980 - Feb 2010 |
5.21%
28 out of 537 |
Amundi US Treasury Bond 0-1Y EUR Hedged (PR1H.DE) ETF: Historical Returns