Bitcoin (^BTC-CAD): Rolling Returns

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Period: January 2009 - February 2025 (~16 years)
Currency: CAD
Inflation: Canada
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When holding the Bitcoin (^BTC-CAD) Commodity, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~16 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 36 months (from December 2013 to November 2016).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 37 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

BITCOIN (^BTC-CAD) COMMODITY
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 March 2015 - 28 February 2025 (10 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 2009 - 28 February 2025 (~16 years)
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

BITCOIN (^BTC-CAD) COMMODITY
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 2009 - 28 February 2025 (~16 years)
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-71.32%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2018
+121.88% +21658.12%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2011
26.23%
48 out of 183
-71.87%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2018
+116.67% +21004.29%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2011
26.23%
48 out of 183
-35.40%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2015
+117.95% +2030.36%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013
12.87%
22 out of 171
-36.45%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2015
+111.67% +2012.10%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013
13.45%
23 out of 171
-6.05%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016
+116.33% +1759.14%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013
0.63%
1 out of 159
-7.43%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016
+111.56% +1731.01%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013
0.63%
1 out of 159
+20.88%
Mar 2021 - Feb 2025
+116.12% +1080.69%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013
0.00%
0 out of 147
+16.45%
Mar 2021 - Feb 2025
+112.74% +1061.51%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013
0.00%
0 out of 147
+4.75%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022
+129.50% +562.59%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2014
0.00%
0 out of 135
+1.50%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022
+125.01% +551.34%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2014
0.00%
0 out of 135
+21.01%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2023
+128.25% +390.51%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2016
0.00%
0 out of 123
+17.23%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2023
+124.21% +381.98%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2016
0.00%
0 out of 123
+33.27%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2024
+108.30% +413.13%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 111
+29.35%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2024
+103.85% +405.00%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2017
0.00%
0 out of 111
+58.87%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2022
+142.30% +381.24%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 99
+55.06%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2022
+138.32% +373.45%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 99
+38.77%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022
+152.42% +297.67%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 87
+35.35%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022
+148.95% +291.37%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017
0.00%
0 out of 87
+45.54%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023
+147.72% +246.67%
Aug 2010 - Jul 2020
0.00%
0 out of 75
+41.87%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023
+142.82% +241.13%
Aug 2010 - Jul 2020
0.00%
0 out of 75
+53.71%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2024
+128.57% +258.03%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 63
+49.93%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2024
+123.56% +251.95%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 63
+94.66%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023
+152.55% +220.84%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2021
0.00%
0 out of 51
+90.30%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023
+146.99% +214.81%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2021
0.00%
0 out of 51
+95.56%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024
+168.24% +184.98%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 39
+91.13%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024
+162.45% +179.77%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021
0.00%
0 out of 39
+136.04%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2025
+159.02% +177.12%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 27
+130.84%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2025
+153.15% +170.78%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 27
+147.08%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023
+157.00% +166.37%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 15
+141.64%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2023
+151.25% +160.45%
Feb 2010 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 15
+144.52%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
+146.49% +148.41%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 3
+139.25%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2025
+141.12% +142.95%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2025
0.00%
0 out of 3
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