When holding the Bitcoin (^BTC-EUR) Commodity, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~16 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 36 months (from December 2013 to November 2016).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 37 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Bitcoin (^BTC-EUR) Commodity: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-72.39%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2018 |
+123.89% |
+20186.07%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2011 |
23.16%
41 out of 177 |
-72.81%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2018 |
+121.41% |
+19651.62%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2011 |
24.29%
43 out of 177 |
-34.69%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2015 |
+116.39% |
+1976.18%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013 |
12.12%
20 out of 165 |
-34.83%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2015 |
+114.71% |
+1945.05%
Dec 2011 - Nov 2013 |
13.33%
22 out of 165 |
-5.59%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016 |
+124.02% |
+1710.71%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013 |
0.65%
1 out of 153 |
-5.90%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2016 |
+117.56% |
+1674.79%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2013 |
0.65%
1 out of 153 |
+29.99%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2023 |
+119.81% |
+1108.77%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 141 |
+24.71%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2023 |
+117.66% |
+1085.12%
Dec 2009 - Nov 2013 |
0.00%
0 out of 141 |
+5.52%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022 |
+129.69% |
+568.48%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 129 |
+2.19%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2022 |
+127.15% |
+557.11%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2014 |
0.00%
0 out of 129 |
+21.60%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2023 |
+129.28% |
+382.47%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2016 |
0.00%
0 out of 117 |
+17.83%
Jan 2018 - Dec 2023 |
+126.79% |
+376.56%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2016 |
0.00%
0 out of 117 |
+45.09%
Sep 2017 - Aug 2024 |
+110.12% |
+406.20%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 105 |
+40.63%
Sep 2017 - Aug 2024 |
+106.15% |
+399.99%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 105 |
+60.45%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2022 |
+148.10% |
+381.10%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 93 |
+57.41%
Jul 2014 - Jun 2022 |
+145.37% |
+374.85%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 93 |
+39.25%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022 |
+159.57% |
+302.98%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 81 |
+36.30%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2022 |
+156.83% |
+297.91%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2017 |
0.00%
0 out of 81 |
+45.05%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023 |
+154.08% |
+243.26%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 69 |
+41.94%
Dec 2013 - Nov 2023 |
+151.08% |
+238.67%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2019 |
0.00%
0 out of 69 |
+78.35%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2024 |
+142.70% |
+255.71%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 57 |
+74.49%
Sep 2013 - Aug 2024 |
+138.74% |
+251.35%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 57 |
+94.17%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023 |
+171.16% |
+223.78%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 45 |
+90.14%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2023 |
+165.48% |
+219.15%
Nov 2009 - Oct 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 45 |
+94.82%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024 |
+174.48% |
+188.69%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 33 |
+90.72%
Jul 2011 - Jun 2024 |
+168.82% |
+184.58%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2021 |
0.00%
0 out of 33 |
+149.71%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2022 |
+164.33% |
+175.90%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 21 |
+144.87%
Jan 2009 - Dec 2022 |
+158.69% |
+170.09%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 21 |
+148.69%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2024 |
+156.13% |
+158.28%
Jun 2009 - May 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 9 |
+143.63%
Feb 2009 - Jan 2024 |
+150.79% |
+152.87%
Jun 2009 - May 2024 |
0.00%
0 out of 9 |
Bitcoin (^BTC-EUR) Commodity: Historical Returns