Invesco NASDAQ 100 Index ETF CAD Units (QQC.TO): Rolling Returns

Time Period: from January 1971 to December 2024 (~54 years)
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When holding the Invesco NASDAQ 100 Index ETF CAD Units (QQC.TO) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~54 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 196 months (from March 2000 to June 2016).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 197 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Previous vs subsequent Returns

Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?

The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).

Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.

INVESCO NASDAQ 100 INDEX ETF CAD UNITS (QQC.TO) ETF
Previous vs Next Returns - 10 Years annualized
Time Period: 1 January 1995 - 31 December 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1971 - 31 December 2024 (~54 years)

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As of Dec 31, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 21.24%.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

INVESCO NASDAQ 100 INDEX ETF CAD UNITS (QQC.TO) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1995 - 31 December 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1971 - 31 December 2024 (~54 years)
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

INVESCO NASDAQ 100 INDEX ETF CAD UNITS (QQC.TO) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1971 - 31 December 2024 (~54 years)
Canada Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-65.69%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2001
+18.09% +116.17%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2000
22.61%
144 out of 637
-66.56%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2001
+13.10% +110.43%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2000
25.27%
161 out of 637
-50.53%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002
+16.53% +94.56%
Jan 1998 - Dec 1999
18.08%
113 out of 625
-51.82%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002
+11.75% +91.10%
Jan 1998 - Dec 1999
26.08%
163 out of 625
-38.41%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+16.15% +80.05%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000
17.46%
107 out of 613
-40.11%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003
+10.67% +77.09%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000
24.47%
150 out of 613
-26.24%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2004
+16.72% +66.96%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2000
16.64%
100 out of 601
-27.91%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2004
+11.12% +64.11%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2000
21.63%
130 out of 601
-22.39%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005
+16.31% +59.87%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2000
15.28%
90 out of 589
-24.15%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005
+10.52% +57.38%
Mar 1995 - Feb 2000
20.20%
119 out of 589
-18.60%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+16.21% +51.63%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000
11.79%
68 out of 577
-20.44%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+9.47% +49.01%
Apr 1994 - Mar 2000
18.72%
108 out of 577
-14.95%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2007
+15.81% +46.23%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2000
8.32%
47 out of 565
-16.86%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2007
+9.38% +44.20%
Mar 1993 - Feb 2000
15.75%
89 out of 565
-14.76%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2008
+14.82% +42.48%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
8.14%
45 out of 553
-16.61%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2008
+9.93% +40.22%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000
14.47%
80 out of 553
-14.99%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+14.67% +41.72%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999
7.02%
38 out of 541
-16.77%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009
+10.29% +39.23%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999
15.71%
85 out of 541
-10.95%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2010
+14.59% +39.10%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2000
7.56%
40 out of 529
-12.76%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2010
+10.60% +36.38%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2000
13.04%
69 out of 529
-8.75%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2011
+14.69% +35.84%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2000
7.93%
41 out of 517
-10.65%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2011
+10.21% +32.75%
Apr 1989 - Mar 2000
13.35%
69 out of 517
-6.76%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2012
+14.68% +32.80%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000
5.74%
29 out of 505
-8.70%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2012
+9.93% +29.55%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000
11.68%
59 out of 505
-5.64%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2013
+14.69% +29.02%
Jan 1987 - Dec 1999
4.67%
23 out of 493
-7.50%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2013
+9.65% +25.71%
Jan 1987 - Dec 1999
7.51%
37 out of 493
-2.93%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014
+14.46% +27.93%
Mar 1986 - Feb 2000
4.37%
21 out of 481
-4.82%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014
+9.74% +24.56%
Mar 1986 - Feb 2000
5.20%
25 out of 481
-0.54%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2015
+14.35% +28.44%
Apr 1985 - Mar 2000
0.64%
3 out of 469
-2.42%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2015
+9.91% +24.88%
Apr 1985 - Mar 2000
4.05%
19 out of 469
-0.08%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+13.78% +27.84%
Apr 1984 - Mar 2000
0.44%
2 out of 457
-1.94%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2016
+10.03% +24.24%
Apr 1984 - Mar 2000
2.19%
10 out of 457
+1.27%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2017
+13.64% +25.81%
Mar 1983 - Feb 2000
0.00%
0 out of 445
-0.60%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2017
+9.98% +22.13%
Mar 1983 - Feb 2000
0.67%
3 out of 445
+2.14%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018
+13.04% +27.19%
Apr 1982 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 433
+0.24%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018
+9.86% +23.21%
Apr 1982 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 433
+2.74%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2019
+12.48% +24.76%
Mar 1981 - Feb 2000
0.00%
0 out of 421
+0.82%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2019
+9.37% +20.34%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2000
0.00%
0 out of 421
+3.35%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+11.99% +26.25%
Apr 1980 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 409
+1.48%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020
+9.31% +21.30%
Apr 1980 - Mar 2000
0.00%
0 out of 409
+7.96%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2024
+13.05% +24.28%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 349
+5.63%
Jan 2000 - Dec 2024
+10.09% +18.35%
Jan 1975 - Dec 1999
0.00%
0 out of 349
+10.66%
Jul 1983 - Jun 2013
+13.45% +16.53%
Jan 1971 - Dec 2000
0.00%
0 out of 289
+6.07%
Oct 1972 - Sep 2002
+9.70% +13.81%
Oct 1990 - Sep 2020
0.00%
0 out of 289
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