iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR: Historical Returns

Category: Fixed Income
Period: August 1953 - August 2024 (~71 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 August 2024
Currency: EUR
SHY is not denominated in EUR. Returns are simulated using exchange rates or interest rate differentials in case of currency hedging.
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1.00
Initial Capital
September 1994
2.77
Final Capital
August 2024
3.45%
Yearly Return
9.13
Std Deviation
-30.36%
Max Drawdown
156 months
Recovery Period
1.00
Initial Capital
August 1953
33.33
Final Capital
August 2024
5.06%
Yearly Return
9.07
Std Deviation
-33.22%
Max Drawdown
76 months
Recovery Period

The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR ETF covers to the following investment themes:

  • Asset Class: Bond
  • Region: North America
  • Country: U.S.
  • Bond - Duration: Short Term

As of August 2024, in the previous 30 Years, the iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR ETF obtained a 3.45% compound annual return, with a 9.13% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -30.36% that required 156 months to be recovered.

Table of contents
Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the ETFs/Assets issuers. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative and entertainment purposes only.
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The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) ETF is part of the following Lazy Portfolios:

Portfolio Name Author SHY Weight Currency
In Saecula Saeculorum To EUR Fulvio Marchese 10.00% EUR
In Saecula Saeculorum To EUR Hedged Fulvio Marchese 10.00% EUR Hedged
In Saecula Saeculorum To EUR Bond Hedged Fulvio Marchese 10.00% EUR Hedged
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Investment Returns as of Aug 31, 2024

The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR ETF guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in EUR, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • for non-EUR assets, the adjustment for actual currency exchange rates.
  • the actual Euro Inflation rates.
ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND (SHY) TO EUR ETF
Time Period: 1 August 1953 - 31 August 2024 (~71 years)
Swipe left to see all data
  Chg (%) Return (%) Return (%) as of Aug 31, 2024
  1 Day Time ET(*) Sep 2024 YTD
(8M)
1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 30Y MAX
(~71Y)
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR ETF n.a. n.a. 2.94 -1.44 0.88 4.11 1.10 2.97 3.45 5.06
Euro Inflation Adjusted return 0.91 -1.44 -0.85 2.04 -2.59 0.56 1.37 2.32
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
Euro Inflation is updated to Jul 2024. Pending updates, the monthly inflation is set at 0% for the subsequent periods. Inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.03% , 5Y: 3.79% , 10Y: 2.40% , 30Y: 2.05%
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Capital Growth as of Aug 31, 2024

An investment of 1€, from September 1994 to August 2024, would be worth 2.77€, with a total return of 176.61% (3.45% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 1.50€, with a net total return of 50.34% (1.37% annualized).

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An investment of 1€, from August 1953 to August 2024, would be worth 33.33€, with a total return of 3233.48% (5.06% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 5.11€, with a net total return of 411.02% (2.32% annualized).

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Investment Metrics as of Aug 31, 2024

Metrics of iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR ETF, updated as of 31 August 2024, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.

These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:
  • no fees or capital gain taxes.
  • dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
  • for non-EUR assets, the adjustment for actual currency exchange rates.
  • the actual Euro Inflation rates.
ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND (SHY) TO EUR ETF
Advanced Metrics
Time Period: 1 August 1953 - 31 August 2024 (~71 years)
Swipe left to see all data
Metrics as of Aug 31, 2024
YTD
(8M)
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
(~71Y)
Investment Return (%)
2.94 -1.44 0.69 0.88 4.11 3.18 1.10 2.97 2.30 3.45 5.06
Growth of 1€ 1.03 0.99 1.01 1.01 1.04 1.10 1.06 1.34 1.58 2.77 33.33
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)
0.91 -1.44 0.51 -0.85 2.04 -2.14 -2.59 0.56 0.18 1.37 2.32
Euro Inflation (%) 2.02 0.00 0.18 1.74 2.03 5.43 3.79 2.40 2.11 2.05 2.67
Pending updates, the monthly inflation of Aug 2024 and beyond is set at 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
Current 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -3.82 -1.83 -9.27 -10.34 -15.37 -16.64 -30.36 -33.22
Start to Recovery (# months)
23* 3 23* 24 32 23 156 76
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2022 10 2020 05 2017 01 2010 07 2002 02 1985 03
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 10 13 13 10 77 34
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2023 07 2021 05 2018 01 2011 04 2008 06 1987 12
Bottom to End (# months) 2 13 11 19 13 79 42
End (yyyy mm) 2024 01 - 2022 04 2019 08 2012 05 2015 01 1991 06
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same
-14.59
same
-30.36
Start to Recovery (# months)
35 156
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2022 10 2020 05 2017 01 2005 12 2002 02 2002 02
Start to Bottom (# months) 1 10 13 13 31 77 77
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2023 11 2023 07 2021 05 2018 01 2008 06 2008 06 2008 06
Bottom to End (# months) 2 13 11 19 4 79 79
End (yyyy mm) 2024 01 - 2022 04 2019 08 2008 10 2015 01 2015 01
Longest negative period (# months)
4 25* 47 79 79 194 194
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 02 2022 08 2019 09 2017 01 2017 01 2002 02 2002 02
End (yyyy mm) 2024 05 2024 08 2023 07 2023 07 2023 07 2018 03 2018 03
Annualized Return (%) -0.47 -0.82 -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.05
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%) -23.51 -2.31 -12.29 -17.81 -17.91 -20.77 -40.62 -40.62
Start to Recovery (# months)
271* 7* 23* 52* 90* 35 271* 271*
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 02 2022 10 2020 05 2017 03 2005 12 2002 02 2002 02
Start to Bottom (# months) 4 10 39 77 31 77 77
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 05 2023 07 2023 07 2023 07 2008 06 2008 06 2008 06
Bottom to End (# months) 3 13 13 13 4 194 194
End (yyyy mm) - - - - 2008 10 - -
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same

same

same

same
-17.91
same

same
Start to Recovery (# months)
90*
Start (yyyy mm) 2024 02 2022 10 2020 05 2017 03 2017 03 2002 02 2002 02
Start to Bottom (# months) 4 10 39 77 77 77 77
Bottom (yyyy mm) 2024 05 2023 07 2023 07 2023 07 2023 07 2008 06 2008 06
Bottom to End (# months) 3 13 13 13 13 194 194
End (yyyy mm) - - - - - - -
Longest negative period (# months)
11* 36* 60* 116* 212 295* 314
Start (yyyy mm) 2023 10 2021 09 2019 09 2015 01 2005 12 2000 02 1954 01
End (yyyy mm) 2024 08 2024 08 2024 08 2024 08 2023 07 2024 08 1980 02
Annualized Return (%) -0.13 -2.14 -2.59 -0.26 -0.07 -0.10 -0.02
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Standard Deviation (%) 4.55 6.15 6.28 7.12 9.17 9.13 9.07
Sharpe Ratio -0.27 -0.02 -0.16 0.21 0.09 0.13 0.10
Sortino Ratio -0.39 -0.02 -0.22 0.30 0.14 0.19 0.15
Ulcer Index 0.82 4.87 5.70 6.17 7.14 12.40 10.41
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation 0.90 0.52 0.18 0.42 0.25 0.38 0.56
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown 2.25 0.34 0.11 0.19 0.14 0.11 0.15
Positive Months (%)
66.66 52.77 55.00 56.66 52.50 53.33 57.67
Positive Months 8 19 33 68 126 192 492
Negative Months 4 17 27 52 114 168 361
LONG TERM RETURNS
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 2.97 4.45 6.26 16.87
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 1.63 -1.66 -1.66
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized 0.56 2.93 4.27 12.24
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized -0.19 -3.65 -3.65
TIMEFRAMES
Inflation Adjusted:
Inflation Adjusted:
1M 3M 6M 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 30Y MAX
··· As of Aug 2024 - Over the previous 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 31.98 16.90 15.01 6.26 5.12 3.45
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -15.58 -10.40 -5.15 -1.66 0.55
Positive Periods (%) 62.1 75.0 81.3 92.5 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 29.59 14.63 13.15 4.27 3.25 1.37
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -17.09 -12.18 -7.05 -3.65 -1.03
Positive Periods (%) 53.8 54.7 59.4 69.7 66.9 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
4.02 6.55 8.71 11.55 15.97 20.70 7.40 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 5.11 8.45 11.39 13.83 24.99 25.43 12.39 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
5.81 9.66 13.11 14.73 32.90 27.88 17.25 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 6.95 11.64 15.91 15.25 33.86 28.35 17.95 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 89.31 26.75 15.25 7.26 3.81 4.78
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- --- 1.60
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Aug 1953 - Aug 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 46.81 35.56 33.15 16.87 11.53 8.77
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -20.86 -10.62 -5.15 -1.66 0.55 2.97
Positive Periods (%) 69.3 81.7 90.4 97.5 100.0 100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized 41.48 29.20 27.90 12.24 8.73 5.51
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized -23.36 -12.18 -7.05 -3.65 -1.03 0.89
Positive Periods (%) 55.9 64.6 70.1 79.2 89.4 100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
3.86 6.13 7.88 10.54 11.80 9.66 0.00 0.00 0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 4.95 8.01 10.54 13.37 20.98 18.85 1.96 0.00 0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative
5.65 9.22 12.25 14.73 29.24 25.08 10.95 0.00 0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%) 6.78 11.18 15.03 16.93 32.85 27.12 14.66 0.00 0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical | 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%) 87.00 26.75 15.25 7.26 3.81 3.70
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%) --- --- --- --- --- 0.99
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards | Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
Terms and Definitions
  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
  • Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
    For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.
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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND (SHY) TO EUR ETF
Drawdown periods
Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 September 1994 - 31 August 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1953 - 31 August 2024 (~71 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Returns

For a detailed rolling return analysis, click here
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR ETF: Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND (SHY) TO EUR ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 September 1994 - 31 August 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1953 - 31 August 2024 (~71 years)
Inflation Adjusted:

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Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR ETF?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the time period from August 1953 to August 2024.

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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR ETF over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND (SHY) TO EUR ETF
Monthly Returns Distribution
Time Period: 1 September 1994 - 31 August 2024 (30 Years)
Time Period: 1 August 1953 - 31 August 2024 (~71 years)
192 Positive Months (53%) - 168 Negative Months (47%)
492 Positive Months (58%) - 361 Negative Months (42%)

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Methodology

Returns, up to December 2002, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

For non-EUR assets, returns are calculated based on the performance of the original asset, adjusted for actual currency exchange rates.

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