iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR Hedged: Historical Returns

Category: Fixed Income
Period: January 1950 - August 2024 (~75 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 August 2024
Currency: EUR

SHY is not denominated in EUR. Returns are simulated using exchange rates or interest rate differentials in case of currency hedging.

(Change Settings)

1.00€
Initial Capital
September 1994
2.08€
Final Capital
August 2024
2.47%
Yearly Return
1.82
Std Deviation
-7.29%
Max Drawdown
52 months
Recovery Period

1.00€
Initial Capital
January 1950
27.47€
Final Capital
August 2024
4.54%
Yearly Return
3.77
Std Deviation
-8.09%
Max Drawdown
9 months
Recovery Period

The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR Hedged ETF covers to the following investment themes:

Asset Class: Bond
Region: North America
Country: U.S.
Bond - Duration: Short Term

As of August 2024, in the previous 30 Years, the iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR Hedged ETF obtained a 2.47% compound annual return, with a 1.82% standard deviation. It suffered a maximum drawdown of -7.29% that required 52 months to be recovered.

Table of contents

Disclaimer: The simulations on this website are provided in good faith but should NOT be taken as investment advice. We are not liable for any errors or actions based on this information. The authors of the website are not affiliated with the ETFs/Assets issuers. Content is for informational, educational, illustrative and entertainment purposes only.

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The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) ETF is part of the following Lazy Portfolios:

Portfolio Name	Author	SHY Weight▾	Currency
In Saecula Saeculorum To EUR	Fulvio Marchese	10.00%	EUR
In Saecula Saeculorum To EUR Hedged	Fulvio Marchese	10.00%	EUR Hedged
In Saecula Saeculorum To EUR Bond Hedged	Fulvio Marchese	10.00%	EUR Hedged

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Investment Returns as of Aug 31, 2024

The iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR Hedged ETF guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in EUR, assuming:

no fees or capital gain taxes.
dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
for non-EUR assets, the currency hedging cost, taking into account the interest rate differentials, with a yearly additional expense ratio of 0.25%.
the actual Euro Inflation rates.

ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND (SHY) TO EUR HEDGED ETF

Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 August 2024 (~75 years)

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	Chg (%)		Return (%)	Return (%) as of Aug 31, 2024
	1 Day	*Time ET^()**	Sep 2024	YTD (8M)	1M	6M	1Y	5Y	10Y	30Y	MAX (~75Y)
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR Hedged ETF	n.a.		n.a.	2.31	0.77	2.59	4.37	-0.04	-0.10	2.47	4.54
Euro Inflation Adjusted return				0.29	0.77	0.83	2.29	-3.70	-2.44	0.41	1.84
Returns over 1 year are annualized
(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)
Euro Inflation is updated to Jul 2024. Pending updates, the monthly inflation is set at 0% for the subsequent periods. Inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 2.03% , 5Y: 3.79% , 10Y: 2.40% , 30Y: 2.05%

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Capital Growth as of Aug 31, 2024

An investment of 1€, from September 1994 to August 2024, would be worth 2.08€, with a total return of 107.88% (2.47% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 1.13€, with a net total return of 12.98% (0.41% annualized).

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An investment of 1€, from January 1950 to August 2024, would be worth 27.47€, with a total return of 2647.03% (4.54% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital would be 3.90€, with a net total return of 289.52% (1.84% annualized).

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Investment Metrics as of Aug 31, 2024

Metrics of iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR Hedged ETF, updated as of 31 August 2024, provide a comprehensive overview of the portfolio's performance and risk characteristics.

These metrics include detailed data on returns, volatility, drawdowns and other key performance indicators. By examining them, you can gain insights into how the portfolio has performed over various time periods and understand its risk profile.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:

no fees or capital gain taxes.
dividend reinvestment, when applicable.
for non-EUR assets, the currency hedging cost, taking into account the interest rate differentials, with a yearly additional expense ratio of 0.25%.
the actual Euro Inflation rates.

ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND (SHY) TO EUR HEDGED ETF

Advanced Metrics

Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 August 2024 (~75 years)

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	Metrics as of Aug 31, 2024
	YTD (8M)	1M	3M	6M	1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y	20Y	30Y	MAX (~75Y)
Investment Return (%)	2.31	0.77	2.27	2.59	4.37	-0.57	-0.04	-0.10	1.07	2.47	4.54
Growth of 1€	1.02	1.01	1.02	1.03	1.04	0.98	1.00	0.99	1.24	2.08	27.47
Infl. Adjusted Return (%)	0.29	0.77	2.08	0.83	2.29	-5.69	-3.70	-2.44	-1.02	0.41	1.84
Euro Inflation (%)	2.02	0.00	0.18	1.74	2.03	5.43	3.79	2.40	2.11	2.05	2.65
Pending updates, the monthly inflation of Aug 2024 and beyond is set at 0%. Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.
DRAWDOWN Inflation Adjusted: Inflation Adjusted:				Current	1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y	20Y	30Y	MAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)				-2.33	-0.79	-6.69	-7.29	-7.29	-7.29	-7.29	-8.09
Start to Recovery (# months)				52*	5	36*	52*	52*	52*	52*	9
Start (yyyy mm)					2024 02	2021 09	2020 05	2020 05	2020 05	2020 05	1971 04
Start to Bottom (# months)					3	18	34	34	34	34	4
Bottom (yyyy mm)					2024 04	2023 02	2023 02	2023 02	2023 02	2023 02	1971 07
Bottom to End (# months)					2	18	18	18	18	18	5
End (yyyy mm)					2024 06	-	-	-	-	-	1971 12
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)					same	same	same	same	same	same	-7.29
Start to Recovery (# months)					same	same	same	same	same	same	52*
Start (yyyy mm)					2024 02	2021 09	2020 05	2020 05	2020 05	2020 05	2020 05
Start to Bottom (# months)					3	18	34	34	34	34	34
Bottom (yyyy mm)					2024 04	2023 02	2023 02	2023 02	2023 02	2023 02	2023 02
Bottom to End (# months)					2	18	18	18	18	18	18
End (yyyy mm)					2024 06	-	-	-	-	-	-
Longest negative period (# months)					4	0	60*	120*	166	166	166
Start (yyyy mm)					2024 01	-	2019 09	2014 09	2009 12	2009 12	2009 12
End (yyyy mm)					2024 04	-	2024 08	2024 08	2023 09	2023 09	2023 09
Annualized Return (%)					-1.71	---	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)				-24.43	-2.71	-18.42	-21.15	-25.43	-26.49	-26.49	-26.49
Start to Recovery (# months)				168*	7*	36*	48*	115*	168*	168*	168*
Start (yyyy mm)					2024 02	2021 09	2020 09	2015 02	2010 09	2010 09	2010 09
Start to Bottom (# months)					3	25	37	104	157	157	157
Bottom (yyyy mm)					2024 04	2023 09	2023 09	2023 09	2023 09	2023 09	2023 09
Bottom to End (# months)					4	11	11	11	11	11	11
End (yyyy mm)					-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)					same	same	same	same	same	same	same
Start to Recovery (# months)					same	same	same	same	same	same	same
Start (yyyy mm)					2024 02	2021 09	2020 09	2015 02	2010 09	2010 09	2010 09
Start to Bottom (# months)					3	25	37	104	157	157	157
Bottom (yyyy mm)					2024 04	2023 09	2023 09	2023 09	2023 09	2023 09	2023 09
Bottom to End (# months)					4	11	11	11	11	11	11
End (yyyy mm)					-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Longest negative period (# months)					8	0	60*	120*	240*	329	329
Start (yyyy mm)					2023 09	-	2019 09	2014 09	2004 09	1996 12	1996 12
End (yyyy mm)					2024 04	-	2024 08	2024 08	2024 08	2024 04	2024 04
Annualized Return (%)					-0.29	---	-3.70	-2.44	-1.02	0.00	0.00
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
RISK INDICATORS					1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y	20Y	30Y	MAX
Standard Deviation (%)					1.83	2.38	1.98	1.54	1.50	1.82	3.77
Sharpe Ratio					-0.52	-1.61	-1.10	-1.00	-0.25	0.10	0.13
Sortino Ratio					-0.70	-2.28	-1.56	-1.45	-0.38	0.15	0.21
Ulcer Index					0.27	4.51	3.96	3.09	2.20	1.81	1.59
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation					2.39	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	0.71	1.35	1.20
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown					5.56	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	0.15	0.34	0.56
Positive Months (%)					75.00	47.22	43.33	43.33	55.83	63.33	65.29
Positive Months					9	17	26	52	134	228	585
Negative Months					3	19	34	68	106	132	311
LONG TERM RETURNS Inflation Adjusted: Inflation Adjusted:					1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y	20Y	30Y	MAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized								-0.10	2.37	5.35	9.20
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized								-0.10	-0.58	-0.58	-0.58
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized								-2.44	0.90	3.35	6.71
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized								-2.44	-2.68	-2.68	-2.68
TIMEFRAMES Inflation Adjusted: Inflation Adjusted:		1M	3M	6M	1Y	3Y	5Y	10Y	20Y	30Y	MAX
··· As of Aug 2024 - Over the previous 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					11.76	8.21	5.85	5.35	3.81	2.47
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					-6.21	-2.30	-1.06	-0.58	0.94	2.47
Positive Periods (%)					79.3	79.0	79.0	87.1	100.0	100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					9.04	5.76	3.98	3.35	1.93	0.41
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					-15.10	-7.58	-4.34	-2.68	-1.16	0.41
Positive Periods (%)					52.1	48.3	55.1	66.8	73.5	100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative		0.66	0.88	0.89	2.10	4.44	2.87	4.63	0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)		0.88	1.26	1.43	4.10	5.82	3.87	5.28	0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative		1.02	1.51	1.77	5.52	6.70	4.53	5.55	0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)		1.25	1.90	2.33	6.15	6.99	5.39	5.92	0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical \| 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%)					91.69	28.82	18.17	9.15	4.93	4.34
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%)					---	---	---	---	---	0.50
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards \| Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com
··· All available data (Jan 1950 - Aug 2024)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					20.44	14.27	11.62	9.20	8.03	6.83
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					-6.21	-2.30	-1.06	-0.58	0.94	2.40
Positive Periods (%)					87.7	91.8	92.4	96.0	100.0	100.0
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					14.86	9.94	9.07	6.71	5.55	4.18
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized					-15.10	-7.58	-4.34	-2.68	-1.16	0.31
Positive Periods (%)					63.5	70.2	76.2	86.2	95.1	100.0
95% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative		1.42	1.97	2.13	1.46	2.08	1.34	0.00	0.00	0.00
95% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)		1.87	2.76	3.24	2.94	3.98	2.67	2.76	0.00	0.00
99% VaR - Value at Risk (%) - Cumulative		2.16	3.26	3.95	4.17	5.91	3.38	5.17	0.00	0.00
99% CVaR - Conditional Value at Risk (%)		2.63	4.08	5.11	5.24	6.54	4.55	5.44	0.00	0.00
Short term VaRs: analytical \| 1+ year VaRs: historical data
Safe Withdrawal Rate (%)					91.69	28.82	18.17	9.15	4.93	3.95
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (%)					---	---	---	---	---	0.39
% based on initial capital, inflation-adj. monthly withdrawals afterwards \| Credits: BestRetirementPortfolio.com

Terms and Definitions

Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio.
Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed.
Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean.
Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return.
Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation).
Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio.
Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame.
Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
Value at Risk (VaR): it's an evaluation of a cumulative worst-case loss (in absolute value), associated with a probability (95%-99%) and a time horizon. For short term, it's calculated based on the expected return and standard deviation, assuming a normal distribution of monthly returns. For long term is retrieved by the historical rolling return data.
Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR): it represents the average expected loss if that worst-case threshold (95%-99%) is ever crossed.
Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money in any case (money amount withdrawal).
For instance: Your initial invested capital is 100.000$; withdrawal rate (annualized) is 4%. This means that, in the first month, you will withdraw 100.000 * 4% * 1/12 = 333.33$. The second month, you’ll withdraw 333.33$ plus the inflation monthly rate. You’ll continue adjusting your withdraw monthly for inflation.
Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of the initial portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the beginning of each month with inflation adjustment, preserving the original invested capital, adjusted for inflation too.

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Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND (SHY) TO EUR HEDGED ETF

Drawdown periods

Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted

Time Period: 1 September 1994 - 31 August 2024 (30 Years)

Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 August 2024 (~75 years)

Inflation Adjusted:

Chart Table Range

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Rolling Returns

For a detailed rolling return analysis, click here
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR Hedged ETF: Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND (SHY) TO EUR HEDGED ETF

Annualized Rolling Returns

Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted

Time Period: 1 September 1994 - 31 August 2024 (30 Years)

Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 August 2024 (~75 years)

Inflation Adjusted:

Return Chart Capital Chart Table

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Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR Hedged ETF?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past. They are retrieved considering the time period from January 1950 to August 2024.

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For further information about the seasonality, check the Asset Class Seasonality page.

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond (SHY) to EUR Hedged ETF over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

ISHARES 1-3 YEAR TREASURY BOND (SHY) TO EUR HEDGED ETF

Monthly Returns Distribution

Time Period: 1 September 1994 - 31 August 2024 (30 Years)

Time Period: 1 January 1950 - 31 August 2024 (~75 years)

228 Positive Months (63%) - 132 Negative Months (37%)

585 Positive Months (65%) - 311 Negative Months (35%)

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Methodology

Returns, up to December 2002, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

For non-EUR assets, hedged returns are calculated taking into account the interest rate differentials of the countries. It is assumed that hedged instruments have a yearly additional expense ratio of 0.25%.

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