When holding the iShares International Treasury Bond (IGOV) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~15 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 182 months (from January 2010 to February 2025). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares International Treasury Bond (IGOV) ETF: Historical Returns
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-28.43%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
+0.34% |
+14.61%
Jun 2010 - May 2011 |
48.54%
83 out of 171 |
-33.85%
Oct 2021 - Sep 2022 |
-1.81% |
+11.42%
Aug 2015 - Jul 2016 |
60.82%
104 out of 171 |
-16.62%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2022 |
+0.37% |
+7.26%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020 |
47.17%
75 out of 159 |
-21.91%
Oct 2020 - Sep 2022 |
-1.60% |
+5.35%
Jan 2019 - Dec 2020 |
66.04%
105 out of 159 |
-11.33%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+0.39% |
+4.43%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2018 |
44.22%
65 out of 147 |
-16.13%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
-1.19% |
+2.50%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2018 |
69.39%
102 out of 147 |
-8.59%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024 |
-0.19% |
+5.70%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2020 |
51.11%
69 out of 135 |
-12.89%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2024 |
-1.78% |
+3.69%
Jan 2017 - Dec 2020 |
77.04%
104 out of 135 |
-5.57%
Oct 2017 - Sep 2022 |
-0.26% |
+4.71%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 |
52.03%
64 out of 123 |
-9.01%
Jul 2019 - Jun 2024 |
-1.68% |
+2.70%
Jan 2016 - Dec 2020 |
89.43%
110 out of 123 |
-4.85%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
-0.14% |
+3.12%
Aug 2015 - Jul 2021 |
52.25%
58 out of 111 |
-8.06%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
-1.56% |
+0.98%
Jun 2015 - May 2021 |
85.59%
95 out of 111 |
-3.95%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 |
+0.23% |
+1.93%
Jan 2014 - Dec 2020 |
40.40%
40 out of 99 |
-7.22%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 |
-1.46% |
+0.34%
Jan 2014 - Dec 2020 |
95.96%
95 out of 99 |
-3.45%
Oct 2014 - Sep 2022 |
+0.20% |
+1.88%
Jun 2010 - May 2018 |
44.83%
39 out of 87 |
-6.14%
May 2016 - Apr 2024 |
-1.62% |
+0.11%
Apr 2010 - Mar 2018 |
96.55%
84 out of 87 |
-3.11%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2022 |
+0.09% |
+1.96%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2019 |
49.33%
37 out of 75 |
-5.70%
Nov 2014 - Oct 2023 |
-2.12% |
+0.32%
Jan 2012 - Dec 2020 |
94.67%
71 out of 75 |
-2.85%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2022 |
-1.23% |
+1.93%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2020 |
57.14%
36 out of 63 |
-5.47%
Nov 2013 - Oct 2023 |
-3.72% |
+0.19%
Dec 2010 - Nov 2020 |
93.65%
59 out of 63 |
-2.62%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
-1.44% |
+2.14%
Jun 2010 - May 2021 |
70.59%
36 out of 51 |
-5.10%
Nov 2012 - Oct 2023 |
-3.92% |
+0.20%
Jun 2010 - May 2021 |
94.12%
48 out of 51 |
-2.23%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023 |
-1.35% |
+0.90%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021 |
87.18%
34 out of 39 |
-4.69%
Nov 2011 - Oct 2023 |
-3.90% |
-1.23%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2021 |
100.00%
39 out of 39 |
-2.01%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 |
-1.15% |
-0.52%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2023 |
100.00%
27 out of 27 |
-4.53%
Nov 2010 - Oct 2023 |
-3.68% |
-3.06%
Jun 2010 - May 2023 |
100.00%
27 out of 27 |
-1.27%
Mar 2011 - Feb 2025 |
-0.81% |
-0.56%
Jun 2010 - May 2024 |
100.00%
15 out of 15 |
-3.82%
Feb 2011 - Jan 2025 |
-3.36% |
-3.08%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2023 |
100.00%
15 out of 15 |
-1.03%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2024 |
-0.93% |
-0.88%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2025 |
100.00%
3 out of 3 |
-3.50%
Jan 2010 - Dec 2024 |
-3.43% |
-3.39%
Mar 2010 - Feb 2025 |
100.00%
3 out of 3 |
iShares International Treasury Bond (IGOV) ETF: Historical Returns