When holding the iShares Nasdaq 100 (SXRV.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~54 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 216 months (from April 2000 to March 2018).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 217 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
iShares Nasdaq 100 (SXRV.DE) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Aug 31, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 19.54%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-68.34%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2001 |
+15.50% |
+157.13%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2000 |
28.44%
180 out of 633 |
-69.02%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2001 |
+11.89% |
+152.26%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2000 |
30.65%
194 out of 633 |
-54.27%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2002 |
+12.95% |
+114.44%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
19.00%
118 out of 621 |
-55.26%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2002 |
+9.76% |
+111.11%
Sep 1998 - Aug 2000 |
23.67%
147 out of 621 |
-41.34%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+14.03% |
+89.44%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000 |
18.56%
113 out of 609 |
-42.69%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2003 |
+10.56% |
+86.94%
Apr 1997 - Mar 2000 |
22.00%
134 out of 609 |
-29.70%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2004 |
+15.06% |
+75.89%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2000 |
19.26%
115 out of 597 |
-31.22%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2004 |
+11.85% |
+73.48%
Apr 1996 - Mar 2000 |
22.95%
137 out of 597 |
-24.29%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005 |
+16.31% |
+69.14%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000 |
17.61%
103 out of 585 |
-25.91%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2005 |
+12.32% |
+66.47%
Apr 1995 - Mar 2000 |
23.08%
135 out of 585 |
-19.64%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006 |
+14.47% |
+55.38%
Sep 1994 - Aug 2000 |
13.61%
78 out of 573 |
-21.38%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006 |
+11.22% |
+52.71%
Sep 1994 - Aug 2000 |
19.72%
113 out of 573 |
-16.23%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2007 |
+14.58% |
+48.07%
Apr 1993 - Mar 2000 |
12.48%
70 out of 561 |
-18.00%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2007 |
+11.43% |
+45.25%
Apr 1993 - Mar 2000 |
16.58%
93 out of 561 |
-16.04%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2008 |
+13.40% |
+47.45%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000 |
9.47%
52 out of 549 |
-17.95%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2008 |
+11.13% |
+44.43%
Sep 1992 - Aug 2000 |
13.84%
76 out of 549 |
-16.33%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009 |
+13.86% |
+43.05%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999 |
7.64%
41 out of 537 |
-18.07%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2009 |
+11.07% |
+39.64%
Jan 1991 - Dec 1999 |
11.17%
60 out of 537 |
-11.18%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2010 |
+13.30% |
+41.21%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2000 |
7.81%
41 out of 525 |
-12.92%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2010 |
+10.79% |
+37.79%
Sep 1990 - Aug 2000 |
10.86%
57 out of 525 |
-11.54%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011 |
+13.27% |
+35.30%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2000 |
8.77%
45 out of 513 |
-13.33%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2011 |
+10.85% |
+31.92%
Mar 1989 - Feb 2000 |
11.11%
57 out of 513 |
-8.08%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2012 |
+13.32% |
+34.02%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000 |
6.19%
31 out of 501 |
-9.97%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2012 |
+10.51% |
+30.65%
Apr 1988 - Mar 2000 |
9.18%
46 out of 501 |
-6.94%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2013 |
+13.05% |
+30.23%
Nov 1987 - Oct 2000 |
5.32%
26 out of 489 |
-8.84%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2013 |
+10.51% |
+27.01%
Nov 1987 - Oct 2000 |
8.18%
40 out of 489 |
-5.18%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014 |
+13.19% |
+27.97%
Sep 1986 - Aug 2000 |
4.40%
21 out of 477 |
-7.06%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2014 |
+10.40% |
+25.08%
Mar 1986 - Feb 2000 |
5.87%
28 out of 477 |
-2.29%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+13.20% |
+25.72%
Sep 1985 - Aug 2000 |
2.37%
11 out of 465 |
-4.03%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015 |
+10.61% |
+23.03%
Sep 1985 - Aug 2000 |
5.16%
24 out of 465 |
-1.96%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2016 |
+12.89% |
+25.99%
Apr 1984 - Mar 2000 |
2.43%
11 out of 453 |
-3.66%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2016 |
+10.20% |
+23.35%
Apr 1984 - Mar 2000 |
2.65%
12 out of 453 |
-0.38%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017 |
+12.55% |
+24.51%
Mar 1983 - Feb 2000 |
0.68%
3 out of 441 |
-2.05%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017 |
+9.98% |
+21.87%
Mar 1983 - Feb 2000 |
2.49%
11 out of 441 |
-0.05%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018 |
+12.02% |
+26.37%
Apr 1982 - Mar 2000 |
0.23%
1 out of 429 |
-1.74%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2018 |
+9.41% |
+23.54%
Apr 1982 - Mar 2000 |
1.63%
7 out of 429 |
+1.03%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2019 |
+11.36% |
+24.99%
Mar 1981 - Feb 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 417 |
-0.62%
Mar 2000 - Feb 2019 |
+9.00% |
+21.99%
Mar 1981 - Feb 2000 |
0.96%
4 out of 417 |
+1.60%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+11.30% |
+27.15%
Apr 1980 - Mar 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 405 |
-0.05%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2020 |
+8.89% |
+23.92%
Apr 1980 - Mar 2000 |
0.25%
1 out of 405 |
+7.84%
Jan 1984 - Dec 2008 |
+12.24% |
+23.88%
Mar 1975 - Feb 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 345 |
+5.55%
Jan 1984 - Dec 2008 |
+9.92% |
+20.37%
Mar 1975 - Feb 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 345 |
+9.02%
Jul 1983 - Jun 2013 |
+12.49% |
+15.51%
Jan 1971 - Dec 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 285 |
+6.73%
Jul 1983 - Jun 2013 |
+9.85% |
+12.91%
Nov 1990 - Oct 2020 |
0.00%
0 out of 285 |
iShares Nasdaq 100 (SXRV.DE) ETF: Historical Returns