iShares S&P 500 Industrials (2B7C.DE): Rolling Returns

Time Period: from January 1999 to August 2024 (~26 years)
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When holding the iShares S&P 500 Industrials (2B7C.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?

Over the selected period (~26 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 149 months (from May 1999 to September 2011).

This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 150 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.

Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.

Rolling Returns

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

ISHARES S&P 500 INDUSTRIALS (2B7C.DE) ETF
Annualized Rolling Returns
Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 September 2004 - 31 August 2024 (20 Years)
Time Period: 1 January 1999 - 31 August 2024 (~26 years)
Euro Inflation Adjusted:

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Rolling Period Analysis

By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.

ISHARES S&P 500 INDUSTRIALS (2B7C.DE) ETF
Rolling Returns Chart
Rolling Returns Chart - Inflation Adjusted
Time Period: 1 January 1999 - 31 August 2024 (~26 years)
Euro Inflation Adjusted:

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Swipe left to see all data
Worst Median Best Negative Periods
-42.55%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003
+10.10% +69.91%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2010
23.91%
71 out of 297
-43.88%
Apr 2002 - Mar 2003
+8.02% +67.26%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2010
30.30%
90 out of 297
-27.52%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+10.90% +44.29%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
20.35%
58 out of 285
-29.09%
Mar 2007 - Feb 2009
+8.43% +41.96%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2011
24.91%
71 out of 285
-19.37%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+10.15% +30.38%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
24.18%
66 out of 273
-21.02%
Mar 2006 - Feb 2009
+7.46% +27.83%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2012
27.11%
74 out of 273
-10.95%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
+9.39% +26.40%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2013
26.82%
70 out of 261
-12.82%
Mar 2005 - Feb 2009
+6.45% +23.90%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2013
31.42%
82 out of 261
-7.28%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
+8.97% +25.56%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
20.88%
52 out of 249
-9.22%
Mar 2004 - Feb 2009
+6.19% +23.45%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2014
32.53%
81 out of 249
-4.22%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+8.91% +27.68%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015
17.72%
42 out of 237
-6.30%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2006
+6.51% +25.94%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2015
27.43%
65 out of 237
-9.56%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+9.70% +22.46%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016
13.33%
30 out of 225
-11.42%
Mar 2002 - Feb 2009
+7.11% +21.06%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2016
20.89%
47 out of 225
-8.75%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+9.63% +23.71%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
12.21%
26 out of 213
-10.66%
Mar 2001 - Feb 2009
+7.64% +22.17%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2017
17.37%
37 out of 213
-6.85%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
+9.42% +20.87%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
14.43%
29 out of 201
-8.80%
Apr 2000 - Mar 2009
+7.70% +19.39%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2018
19.90%
40 out of 201
-4.38%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2009
+9.84% +19.59%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019
16.40%
31 out of 189
-6.38%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2009
+8.31% +18.11%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2019
21.69%
41 out of 189
-2.38%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+9.84% +17.63%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
5.65%
10 out of 177
-4.39%
Oct 2000 - Sep 2011
+8.18% +16.18%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2020
20.34%
36 out of 177
-0.42%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012
+9.68% +18.19%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2021
1.21%
2 out of 165
-2.53%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2012
+8.12% +16.71%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2021
15.15%
25 out of 165
+1.34%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013
+9.63% +17.82%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2022
0.00%
0 out of 153
-0.71%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2013
+7.95% +15.84%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2022
5.88%
9 out of 153
+2.73%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2013
+9.62% +17.00%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023
0.00%
0 out of 141
+0.60%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2013
+7.96% +14.65%
Mar 2009 - Feb 2023
0.00%
0 out of 141
+3.59%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
+9.39% +17.16%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 129
+1.74%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2015
+7.61% +14.74%
Apr 2009 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 129
+4.13%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2016
+9.27% +13.04%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2024
0.00%
0 out of 117
+2.36%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2016
+7.43% +10.82%
Aug 2008 - Jul 2024
0.00%
0 out of 117
+4.70%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017
+9.10% +10.99%
Apr 2007 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 105
+2.95%
Sep 2000 - Aug 2017
+7.20% +8.86%
Feb 2003 - Jan 2020
0.00%
0 out of 105
+4.63%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018
+8.88% +10.97%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 93
+2.84%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2018
+7.12% +9.31%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2021
0.00%
0 out of 93
+4.50%
Jun 2001 - May 2020
+7.83% +11.10%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022
0.00%
0 out of 81
+2.87%
Jun 2001 - May 2020
+6.16% +9.11%
Apr 2003 - Mar 2022
0.00%
0 out of 81
+4.67%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020
+7.47% +10.72%
Apr 2004 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 69
+3.03%
Nov 2000 - Oct 2020
+5.61% +8.43%
Apr 2004 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 69
+7.40%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2024
+7.87% +8.43%
Apr 1999 - Mar 2024
0.00%
0 out of 9
+5.15%
Jul 1999 - Jun 2024
+5.62% +6.20%
Mar 1999 - Feb 2024
0.00%
0 out of 9
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