When holding the Xtrackers Global Government Bond (XG7S.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~53 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 115 months (from February 2015 to August 2024). This negative serie is not closed yet.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Xtrackers Global Government Bond (XG7S.DE) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Aug 31, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 1.00%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-15.00%
Feb 1994 - Jan 1995 |
+5.45% |
+26.16%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997 |
28.50%
177 out of 621 |
-20.76%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+3.09% |
+24.31%
Aug 1996 - Jul 1997 |
37.84%
235 out of 621 |
-8.43%
Dec 2021 - Nov 2023 |
+5.75% |
+19.17%
Aug 1995 - Jul 1997 |
20.03%
122 out of 609 |
-13.84%
Nov 2021 - Oct 2023 |
+3.29% |
+16.98%
Aug 1995 - Jul 1997 |
32.35%
197 out of 609 |
-6.41%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+5.28% |
+16.41%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1983 |
9.38%
56 out of 597 |
-11.55%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+2.61% |
+14.37%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1998 |
26.63%
159 out of 597 |
-4.97%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
+5.65% |
+15.39%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1984 |
4.96%
29 out of 585 |
-9.12%
May 2020 - Apr 2024 |
+3.16% |
+11.59%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1999 |
21.20%
124 out of 585 |
-3.04%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2024 |
+5.76% |
+15.02%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1985 |
5.76%
33 out of 573 |
-6.58%
Sep 2019 - Aug 2024 |
+2.80% |
+10.56%
Apr 1981 - Mar 1986 |
17.10%
98 out of 573 |
-1.47%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2023 |
+5.73% |
+14.07%
May 1980 - Apr 1986 |
6.95%
39 out of 561 |
-4.45%
Mar 2017 - Feb 2023 |
+3.42% |
+10.40%
May 1980 - Apr 1986 |
15.33%
86 out of 561 |
-1.95%
Aug 2016 - Jul 2023 |
+5.77% |
+12.06%
May 1980 - Apr 1987 |
4.55%
25 out of 549 |
-4.87%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 |
+3.26% |
+8.96%
May 1980 - Apr 1987 |
15.48%
85 out of 549 |
-1.56%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024 |
+6.09% |
+10.91%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988 |
3.72%
20 out of 537 |
-4.34%
Jul 2016 - Jun 2024 |
+3.43% |
+8.19%
Oct 1980 - Sep 1988 |
13.04%
70 out of 537 |
-0.57%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2024 |
+6.03% |
+10.79%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1989 |
1.33%
7 out of 525 |
-3.01%
Apr 2015 - Mar 2024 |
+3.82% |
+7.98%
Jun 1980 - May 1989 |
9.33%
49 out of 525 |
+0.90%
Jan 2013 - Dec 2022 |
+5.72% |
+10.39%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1984 |
0.00%
0 out of 513 |
-1.36%
Sep 2014 - Aug 2024 |
+3.71% |
+6.95%
Oct 1979 - Sep 1989 |
6.43%
33 out of 513 |
+0.36%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2023 |
+6.03% |
+10.15%
Apr 1975 - Mar 1986 |
0.00%
0 out of 501 |
-1.74%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2023 |
+3.65% |
+6.85%
May 1980 - Apr 1991 |
4.59%
23 out of 501 |
+0.60%
Jun 2012 - May 2024 |
+6.07% |
+9.86%
May 1974 - Apr 1986 |
0.00%
0 out of 489 |
-1.52%
Aug 2012 - Jul 2024 |
+3.72% |
+6.90%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1994 |
4.29%
21 out of 489 |
+1.17%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2023 |
+5.99% |
+9.93%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 477 |
-1.02%
Sep 2010 - Aug 2023 |
+3.57% |
+6.89%
Jan 1981 - Dec 1993 |
3.56%
17 out of 477 |
+1.28%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2024 |
+6.02% |
+10.09%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 465 |
-0.89%
Jul 2010 - Jun 2024 |
+3.47% |
+6.86%
Feb 1980 - Jan 1994 |
1.51%
7 out of 465 |
+2.28%
Dec 2008 - Nov 2023 |
+5.96% |
+9.34%
Feb 1979 - Jan 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 453 |
+0.21%
May 2009 - Apr 2024 |
+3.32% |
+6.15%
Aug 1982 - Jul 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 453 |
+2.69%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+5.88% |
+8.88%
Feb 1978 - Jan 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 441 |
+0.58%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+3.39% |
+6.16%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 441 |
+2.30%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 |
+5.74% |
+9.23%
Aug 1980 - Jul 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 429 |
+0.17%
Nov 2006 - Oct 2023 |
+3.34% |
+6.29%
Aug 1980 - Jul 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 429 |
+2.09%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023 |
+5.64% |
+9.27%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 417 |
-0.01%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023 |
+3.17% |
+6.34%
Mar 1980 - Feb 1998 |
0.48%
2 out of 417 |
+2.09%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024 |
+5.53% |
+9.13%
May 1980 - Apr 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 405 |
-0.03%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024 |
+3.23% |
+6.34%
May 1980 - Apr 1999 |
0.49%
2 out of 405 |
+2.17%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023 |
+5.52% |
+9.03%
May 1980 - Apr 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 393 |
+0.05%
Nov 2003 - Oct 2023 |
+3.34% |
+6.28%
May 1980 - Apr 2000 |
0.00%
0 out of 393 |
+2.39%
May 1999 - Apr 2024 |
+5.59% |
+8.38%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 333 |
+0.26%
May 1999 - Apr 2024 |
+3.39% |
+5.27%
Dec 1974 - Nov 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 333 |
+3.16%
Feb 1994 - Jan 2024 |
+5.84% |
+7.49%
Aug 1973 - Jul 2003 |
0.00%
0 out of 273 |
+1.09%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+3.47% |
+4.56%
Sep 1980 - Aug 2010 |
0.00%
0 out of 273 |
Xtrackers Global Government Bond (XG7S.DE) ETF: Historical Returns