When holding the Xtrackers II Eurozone Government Bond (XGLE.DE) ETF, how long should you stay invested to have high probability to achieve a positive return?
Over the selected period (~53 years), the longest duration with a negative return was 129 months (from March 1972 to November 1982).
This indicates that, within the same timeframe, any rolling period of 130 months or more has consistently resulted in a positive return.
Understanding this metric is crucial as it highlights the importance of a safe investment horizon. Knowing the minimum duration required to likely see positive returns helps investors set realistic expectations and reinforces the strategy of staying invested through market cycles. This approach can mitigate the emotional reactions to short-term market fluctuations and enhance the likelihood of achieving financial goals.
Xtrackers II Eurozone Government Bond (XGLE.DE) ETF: Historical Returns
Previous vs subsequent Returns
Is there a correlation between past and future returns over all 10-year rolling periods?
The following chart illustrates the relationship between past returns (x-axis) and subsequent returns (y-axis).
Data points are aggregated to show occurrences, and you can zoom in by clicking or drawing over the desired area.
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As of Aug 31, 2024, the annualized return of the previous 10 years has been 0.23%.
Rolling Returns
A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.
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Rolling Period Analysis
By selecting the 'Rolling Period', the chart and data will update. To study a different date range, change the simulation settings.
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Worst | Median | Best | Negative Periods |
---|---|---|---|
-18.06%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+4.49% |
+17.63%
May 1995 - Apr 1996 |
23.23%
144 out of 620 |
-24.96%
Jan 2022 - Dec 2022 |
+2.39% |
+15.51%
Apr 1985 - Mar 1986 |
34.68%
215 out of 620 |
-11.06%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022 |
+4.91% |
+13.90%
Mar 1995 - Feb 1997 |
15.79%
96 out of 608 |
-16.93%
Jan 2021 - Dec 2022 |
+2.44% |
+12.47%
Jun 1984 - May 1986 |
29.77%
181 out of 608 |
-7.59%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+4.43% |
+11.96%
May 1983 - Apr 1986 |
12.58%
75 out of 596 |
-12.66%
Nov 2020 - Oct 2023 |
+2.47% |
+10.07%
Sep 1983 - Aug 1986 |
25.67%
153 out of 596 |
-5.53%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023 |
+4.51% |
+10.70%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1994 |
11.82%
69 out of 584 |
-9.39%
Oct 2019 - Sep 2023 |
+2.39% |
+8.96%
Apr 1995 - Mar 1999 |
22.26%
130 out of 584 |
-3.25%
Apr 1976 - Mar 1981 |
+4.47% |
+10.22%
Jun 1981 - May 1986 |
11.89%
68 out of 572 |
-7.26%
Jun 1976 - May 1981 |
+2.63% |
+7.69%
Sep 1981 - Aug 1986 |
23.43%
134 out of 572 |
-2.16%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2022 |
+4.55% |
+9.24%
Dec 1990 - Nov 1996 |
11.07%
62 out of 560 |
-6.10%
Mar 1976 - Feb 1982 |
+2.81% |
+6.62%
Oct 1992 - Sep 1998 |
21.79%
122 out of 560 |
-2.21%
Oct 2016 - Sep 2023 |
+4.40% |
+9.13%
Mar 1990 - Feb 1997 |
7.66%
42 out of 548 |
-5.22%
Apr 1973 - Mar 1980 |
+2.86% |
+6.18%
Dec 1991 - Nov 1998 |
21.17%
116 out of 548 |
-1.34%
Mar 2015 - Feb 2023 |
+4.26% |
+8.93%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999 |
6.72%
36 out of 536 |
-6.04%
Apr 1972 - Mar 1980 |
+2.71% |
+6.33%
Feb 1991 - Jan 1999 |
19.22%
103 out of 536 |
-1.44%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1981 |
+4.29% |
+8.81%
Feb 1990 - Jan 1999 |
4.58%
24 out of 524 |
-6.22%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1981 |
+2.63% |
+6.08%
Jul 1984 - Jun 1993 |
18.32%
96 out of 524 |
-0.82%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1982 |
+4.17% |
+8.73%
Jan 1984 - Dec 1993 |
0.98%
5 out of 512 |
-5.71%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1982 |
+2.56% |
+6.27%
Jan 1984 - Dec 1993 |
16.21%
83 out of 512 |
+0.16%
Apr 1972 - Mar 1983 |
+4.07% |
+8.46%
Jan 1983 - Dec 1993 |
0.00%
0 out of 500 |
-4.63%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1983 |
+2.39% |
+5.96%
Jan 1983 - Dec 1993 |
14.60%
73 out of 500 |
+0.68%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1984 |
+4.22% |
+8.48%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1994 |
0.00%
0 out of 488 |
-4.02%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1984 |
+2.33% |
+5.83%
Feb 1982 - Jan 1994 |
11.27%
55 out of 488 |
+1.01%
Oct 2010 - Sep 2023 |
+4.33% |
+8.29%
Mar 1984 - Feb 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 476 |
-3.07%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1985 |
+2.49% |
+5.82%
Mar 1984 - Feb 1997 |
8.82%
42 out of 476 |
+1.25%
Oct 2009 - Sep 2023 |
+4.49% |
+8.19%
Mar 1984 - Feb 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 464 |
-2.12%
Feb 1972 - Jan 1986 |
+2.45% |
+5.82%
Mar 1984 - Feb 1998 |
8.41%
39 out of 464 |
+1.69%
Jul 2009 - Jun 2024 |
+4.58% |
+8.32%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1997 |
0.00%
0 out of 452 |
-1.59%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1987 |
+2.50% |
+5.95%
Feb 1984 - Jan 1999 |
7.74%
35 out of 452 |
+1.79%
Nov 2007 - Oct 2023 |
+4.73% |
+8.23%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1998 |
0.00%
0 out of 440 |
-1.29%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1988 |
+2.42% |
+5.82%
May 1983 - Apr 1999 |
7.50%
33 out of 440 |
+1.68%
Oct 2006 - Sep 2023 |
+4.89% |
+8.19%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 428 |
-1.00%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1989 |
+2.53% |
+5.76%
Mar 1982 - Feb 1999 |
8.18%
35 out of 428 |
+1.56%
Oct 2005 - Sep 2023 |
+4.95% |
+8.03%
Jun 1981 - May 1999 |
0.00%
0 out of 416 |
-0.86%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1990 |
+2.64% |
+5.47%
Jun 1981 - May 1999 |
7.69%
32 out of 416 |
+1.78%
Jul 2005 - Jun 2024 |
+5.07% |
+7.54%
Mar 1982 - Feb 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 404 |
-0.52%
Mar 1972 - Feb 1991 |
+2.81% |
+5.16%
Mar 1982 - Feb 2001 |
5.69%
23 out of 404 |
+1.87%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023 |
+5.25% |
+7.44%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2001 |
0.00%
0 out of 392 |
-0.25%
Oct 2003 - Sep 2023 |
+2.94% |
+5.06%
Jun 1983 - May 2003 |
4.34%
17 out of 392 |
+2.36%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023 |
+5.47% |
+6.87%
Mar 1981 - Feb 2006 |
0.00%
0 out of 332 |
+0.25%
Oct 1998 - Sep 2023 |
+3.03% |
+4.38%
Mar 1981 - Feb 2006 |
0.00%
0 out of 332 |
+3.23%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+5.29% |
+6.16%
Sep 1981 - Aug 2011 |
0.00%
0 out of 272 |
+1.12%
Nov 1993 - Oct 2023 |
+3.01% |
+3.91%
Mar 1985 - Feb 2015 |
0.00%
0 out of 272 |
Xtrackers II Eurozone Government Bond (XGLE.DE) ETF: Historical Returns